dimanche, avril 05, 2009

WORLD CRISIS' WEEKLY WRAP-UP: (March 30 -- April 03)

WORLD CRISIS WEEKLY WRAP-UP!   

(Last Week.... March 30 -- April 03)

G-20 Background. 
What to expect from last week's Summit. The Markets behaved great, but the world economy is deteriorating very fast!

-----Is it possible that the worst of this crisis be over? Financial Markets have been mostly positive for the past 4 weeks, with the lower volatility index underlining all the optimism (see the story below please). I think however that the damage is done and a recovery is still very far from our global regulators  reach, notwithstanding the fiscal and monetary expansionary steps they have taken! -----What is your conclusion from last week's selected news (below)?


-----(UPDATE 1 OF 3)-----
  • MEXICO 1st IN IMF OFFER OF A FLEXIBLE CREDIT LINE OF UP TO $47 BILLION (NO STRINGS ATTACHED). 
  • IADB  AGREED TO INCREASE MORE CAPITAL TO EXPAND LENDING. IT CAN ONLY LEND $8 B A YEAR. 
  • UNIVERSITY OF TORONTO SAID 1,300 GOV COMPUTERS IN 103 COUNTRIES WITH SPYWARECHINA TO BLAME. 
  • HUNGARY’S SOCIALISTS PICKED GORDON BAJNAI, TO REPLACE FERENC GYURCSANY AS PRIME MINISTER.
  • NETANYAHU ISRAEL’S PRIME MINISTER IN A COALITION.
  • GM, CHRYSLER INADEQUATE PLANS. OBAMA: BANKRUPTCY BEST. GM GIVEN 60 DAYS.
  • BARCLAYS DOES NOT NEED THE BRITISH ASSET-PROTECTION SCHEME.
  • UK RESCUE OF DUNFERMLINE BUILDING SOCIETY, A SCOTTISH MUTUAL LENDER. 
  • SPAIN $12 B RESCUED CAJA CASTILLA LA MANCHA. 1ST TO BE BAILED OUT IN 16 YEARS. MORE TO COME.
  • SWISS REWORLD’S 2ND-BIGGEST REINSURER, TO CUT 10% OF ITS GLOBAL WORKFORCE.
  • OECD GRIM OUTLOOK: 30 COUNTRIES'S GDP's  -4.3% THIS YEAR.US -4%, EURO AREA’S -4.1%, JAPAN’S -6.6%. 
  • WORLD BANK UPDATED FORECAST FOR THE WORLD ECONOMY,TO SHRINK BY 1.7% IN 2009.
  • HOUSING OK?: US PENDING HOME-SALES +2.1% IN FEB (MTHLY). UK HOUSE PRICES + 0.9% MARCH $217,000. 
  • MIXED JAPANTANKAN LARGE MANUFACTURERS SENTIMENT -58, LOWEST IN HISTORY SINCE 1974. 
  • US FED BOUGHT $6 B OF 3 TO 4 YEAR TREASURIES ON APRIL 1ST.PART OF PLANS TO BUY OVER $300 B TO LOWER RATES.
  • SK EXPORTS -21.2% IN MARCH Y-ON-Y. TO CHINA, MAIN MARKET, -17.2%, 20 DAYS OF MARCH.IMPORTS -36%.
  • BRAZIL’S INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT PLUMMETS -17% LOWER IN FEB THAN A YEAR EARLIER.
  • INDIA’S EXPORTS -21.7% Y-TO-FEB. IMPORTS -23%, TRADE DEFICIT NARROWED, TO $4.9 B.

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