Created in 2007 to give you a timely warning about the causes and consequences of the next global financial crisis since 1997, through the exposition of fundamental events analysis. ---(Tuesday Through Thursday Updates: 3 p.m. México City; 4 p.m. NY)---


RECESION MUNDIAL----------WORLD RECESSION OR DEPRESSION---------RÉCESSION MONDIALE



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TODAY'S "TOP TEN " CRISIS EVENTS
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samedi, octobre 27, 2007

MÉXICO PETRÓLEO ¡PRODUCCIÓN ESTANCADA!

Se estanca la producción de crudo - El Universal - Finanzas: "Se estanca la producción de crudo"

¿VENEZUELA Y RUSIA?

Elogia Chávez a Putin por apoyo a Venezuela - El Universal - El Mundo: "Elogia Chávez a Putin por apoyo a Venezuela"

MÉXICO: AUMENTA ACTIVIDAD ECONÓMICA 4.4%!

Aumenta 4.4% actividad económica en agosto - El Universal - Finanzas: "Aumenta 4.4% actividad económica en agosto"

MEZCLA MEXICANA: NUEVO RÉCORD!

Cierra mezcla mexicana en 76.95 dólares, registra nuevo récord - El Universal - Finanzas: "Cierra mezcla mexicana en 76.95 dólares, registra nuevo récord"

NOUVEAU RECORD DE L'EURO!

Nouveau record de l'euro, qui frôle le seuil de 1,44 dollar - 20minutes.fr: "Nouveau record de l'euro, qui frôle le seuil de 1,44 dollar"

PÉTROLE: DES NOUVEAUX RECORDS!

Le pétrole termine la semaine sur de nouveaux records à Londres et New York - 20minutes.fr: "Le pétrole termine la semaine sur de nouveaux records à Londres et New York"

MOODY'S CUTS RATINGS!

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide: "Moody's Cuts Ratings on CDOs Tied to Subprime Bonds (Update4)"

MARKETS NOT YET "NORMAL"!

Bloomberg.com: Economy: "Fed's Mishkin Says Financial-Market Conditions Not Yet `Normal'"

UK GROWTH TO FALL MORE THAN EXPECTED!

Bloomberg.com: Economy: "U.K. Budget Gap to Be Double Darling's Prediction (Update1)"

US TO DISCUSS MORTGAGE RESCUE!

Bloomberg.com: Economy: "Jackson, Bernanke to Discuss Mortgage Assistance (Update1)"

DEUTSCHE TO JOIN RESCUE FUND?

Bloomberg.com: Europe: "Deutsche Bank Considers Participating in SIV Fund (Update5)"

DOLLAR FALLS TO RECORD LOW!

Bloomberg.com: Europe: "Dollar Falls to Record Low Versus Euro as Bets on Fed Cut Mount"

SINGAPORE DOLLAR, RINGGIT; DECADE HIGHS!

Bloomberg.com: Asia: "Asian Currencies: Singapore Dollar, Ringgit Reach Decade Highs"

JAPAN'S BONDS DECLINE IN WEEK!

Bloomberg.com: Asia: "Japan's Bonds Decline in Week; Yields at Month Low Deter Buyers"

BOVESPA: WORLD'S BIGGEST MOVER!

Bloomberg.com: Latin America: "Brazil's Bovespa Gains, Led by Vale: World's Biggest Mover"

BOLIVAR DROPS!

Bloomberg.com: Latin America: "Venezuelan Bolivar Drops as Chavez Prepares Constitution Reform"

ARGENTINE BONDS: DEVASTATED!

Bloomberg.com: Latin America: "Argentine Debt Devastated by Data Suspicion, Election (Update2) "

MÉXICO RAISES RATE TO 7.50%!

Bloomberg.com: Latin America: "Mexico Central Bank Unexpectedly Raises Rate to 7.50% (Update5)"

OIL RISES TO RECORD $92.22!

Bloomberg.com: U.S.: "Crude Oil Rises to Record $92.22 on Increased U.S.-Iran Tension "

CHINA, EMERGING MARKETS, NOT ENOUGH?

Bloomberg.com: Opinion: "China, Emerging Markets Can't Fill U.S. Shoes: Michael R. Sesit "

EMPLOYERS VS US BUSH ON IMMIGRATION!

Bloomberg.com: Politics: "Bush Worker-Screening Plan Runs Into Opposition From Employers"

ASIAN STOCKS RISE IN WEEK!

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide: "Asian Stocks Rise in Week on Earnings; China Mobile, Sony Gain"

US HOMEOWNERSHIP FALLS!

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide: "U.S. Homeownership Falls in Longest Slide Since 1981 (Update3)"

US STOCKS RALLY!

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide: "U.S. Stocks Rally on Microsoft Profit, Countrywide Forecast "

vendredi, octobre 26, 2007

MÉXICO PETRÓLEO: ¿60 AÑOS DE RESERVAS?

México cuenta con reservas de crudo para 60 años: Sener - El Universal - Finanzas: "México cuenta con reservas de crudo para 60 años: Sener"

PETRÓLEO: ¡NUEVOS RECORDS!

Precios petróleo tocan nuevo récord por temor desabastecimiento Titulares Reuters: "Precios petróleo tocan nuevo récord por temor desabastecimiento"

RALENTISSEMENT DE L'EUROPE?

Le ralentissement de la croissance se précise en Europe - 20minutes.fr: "Le ralentissement de la croissance se précise en Europe"

US EXTENDS SACTIONS VS IRAN!

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide: "Iran Condemns `Bullying Powers' as U.S. Sanctions Military Unit "

FED: TO DOUBLE ECONOMIC FORECASTS!

Bloomberg.com: Economy: "Fed Considers More Frequent Forecasts, Officials Say (Update3)"

UK TO SLOW IN 2008!

Bloomberg.com: Economy: "U.K. Economy Will Cool, Widening Budget Deficit, NIESR Says"

HONG KONG SELLS CURRENCY!

Bloomberg.com: Asia: "Hong Kong Monetary Authority Intervenes to Defend Dollar Link"

ARGENTINE BONDS: A BLOOD BATH!

Bloomberg.com: Latin America: "Argentine Bonds Devastated by Rigged Data Suspicion, Fernandez"

US DURABLE GOODS, NEW HOME SALES UP!

Bloomberg.com: U.S.: "U.S. Economy: Durable-Goods Report Signals Investment (Update1)"

AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR: HIGHEST SINCE 1984!

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide: "Australian Dollar Rises Above 91 U.S. Cents, Highest Since 1984 "

JAPAN: PRICES, PRODUCTION DOWN!

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide: "Japan's Consumer Prices Fall for Eighth Month; Production Slips"

CHINA TO RAISE RATES?

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide: "China Will Probably Raise Interest Rates After 11.5% Expansion"

***OIL RISES ABOVE $91!***

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide: "Oil Rises to Record Above $91 on Supply Drop, Iran Sanctions "

ASIAN STOCKS RISE!

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide: "Asian Stocks Rise, Led by Sony on Higher Profit; BHP Gains"

jeudi, octobre 25, 2007

MÉXICO 2008: PRECIO PETRÓLEO ¿REALISTA?

Realista precio del petróleo estimado por Congreso para 2008: Hacienda - El Universal - Finanzas: "Realista precio del petróleo estimado por Congreso para 2008: Hacienda"

LE PÉTROLE: À LA HAUSSE!

Asie: le pétrole repart à la hausse après le recul des stocks US - 20minutes.fr: "Asie: le pétrole repart à la hausse après le recul des stocks US"

CHINE: CHAUDE, CHAUDE, CHAUDE!

Chine: la croissance reste forte à +11,5% depuis le début de l'année - 20minutes.fr: "Chine: la croissance reste forte à +11,5% depuis le début de l'année"

US HYPOCRISY IN CRISES?

Bloomberg.com: Opinion: "U.S. Hypocrisy Should Annoy Mahathir, Suharto: William Pesek "

WORLD AT RISK?

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide: "BOE Says Banks Vulnerable to `Shocks' After Credit Collapse "

ASIAN STOCKS FALL!

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide: "Asian Stocks Fall, Led by Mizuho, Japanese Banks; Posco Gains"

CHINA HOT HOT HOT!

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide: "China's Economy Expands 11.5%, Adding Yuan Pressure (Update3)"

mercredi, octobre 24, 2007

MÉXICO: SUBE LA INFLACIÓN!

Suben precios 0.32% en primera quincena de octubre - El Universal - Finanzas: "Suben precios 0.32% en primera quincena de octubre"

¿CÓMO VA MÉXICO HOY?

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-¿Qué dicen los analistas? 24 de octubre Reuters.com: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-¿Qué dicen los analistas? 24 de octubre Miércoles 24 de Octubre, 2007 1:01 GMT"

MÉXICO: VENTAS MIXTAS!

ACTUALIZA 1-Ventas menudeo de México mantienen ritmo en agosto Reuters.com: "ACTUALIZA 1-Ventas menudeo de México mantienen ritmo en agosto Miércoles 24 de Octubre, 2007 8:54 GMT"

TURKEY BOMBS IRAK!

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide: "Turkey Bombs PKK Positions; U.S. Official Demands Iraqi Action"

ITALY'S CONFIDENCE UP!

Bloomberg.com: Economy: "Italian Business Confidence Rises in October (Update2)"

EUROPE: INFLATION IGNORED?

Bloomberg.com: Economy: "Gonzalez-Paramo Says ECB May Ignore Jump in Inflation (Update3)"

EUROPEAN SERVICES ACCELERATED!

Bloomberg.com: Economy: "European Services Growth Accelerated in October (Update3)"

CRISIS BLAMED ON LAX REGULATORS

Bloomberg.com: Economy: "Regulators Paved Way for Loan Abuses, Congress Hears (Update2) "

JAPAN'S EXPORTS SLOW!

Bloomberg.com: Economy: "Japan's Exports Grow at Slowest Pace in Two Years (Update2)"

BE CAUTIOUS ON CHINA!

Bloomberg.com: Asia: "Buffett Says Investors Should Be `Cautious' on China (Update3)"

NEW ZEALAND LEAVES RATE UNCHANGED

Bloomberg.com: Asia: "New Zealand Leaves Key Interest Rate at Record High (Update1)"

MÉXICO: INFLATION QUICKENS!

Bloomberg.com: Latin America: "Mexico Core Inflation Quickens in October First Half (Update2)"

MEXICAN PESO, BONDS FALL!

Bloomberg.com: Latin America: "Mexico's Bonds Fall After Core Prices Rise More Than Forecast"

US STOCKS DECLINE!

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide: "U.S. Stocks Decline; Merrill Lynch, Broadcom, Amazon.com Fall "

US STOCKS DECLINE!

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide: "U.S. Stocks Decline; Merrill Lynch, Broadcom, Amazon.com Fall"

EXISTING HOME SALES TUMBLE!

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide: "U.S. Economy: Existing Home Sales Tumble 8 Percent (Update2)"

YEN UP!

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide: "Yen Rises on Report Merrill Will Add $2.5 Billion to Writedowns"

IS JAPAN IN RECESSION?

Bloomberg.com: Opinion: "Japan's Economy Can't Afford 43% Housing Plunge: William Pesek"

mardi, octobre 23, 2007

¿CÓMO VA MÉXICO HOY?

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-¿Qué dicen los analistas? 23 de octubre Reuters.com: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-¿Qué dicen los analistas? 23 de octubre Martes 23 de Octubre, 2007 12:55 GMT"

MÉXICO: ¡AUMENTAN RESERVAS!

Aumentan reservas internacionales a 82 mil 745 mdd - El Universal - Finanzas: "Aumentan reservas internacionales a 82 mil 745 mdd"

MÉXICO: TASAS MIXTAS!

Registran tasas primarias resultados mixtos, Cetes 28 días 7.20% - El Universal - Finanzas: "Registran tasas primarias resultados mixtos, Cetes 28 días 7.20%"

MÉXICO: DÉFICIT COMERCIAL DE 728 MDD!

Reportan déficit comercial de 728 mdd en septiembre - El Universal - Finanzas: "Reportan déficit comercial de 728 mdd en septiembre"

US STOCKS UP!

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide: "U.S. Stocks Advance on Earnings; Apple, American Express Rally "

FRENCH SPENDING SLOWS!

Bloomberg.com: Economy: "French Consumer Spending Slows Amid Rising Oil Costs (Update1)"

UK CREDIT COSTS MAY NOT HURT HOUSING?

Bloomberg.com: Economy: "BOE's Barker Says Credit Costs May Not Hurt Housing (Update1)"

US PAULSON URGES CHINA ON CHANGES!

Bloomberg.com: Economy: "Paulson Urges China to Adopt Market-Based Policies (Update2)"

EUROPEAN STOCKS UP!

Bloomberg.com: Europe: "European Stocks Advance; Schneider, Lonza, ArcelorMittal Climb "

MÉXICO TO GROW IN 2007, 08, 09!

Bloomberg.com: Latin America: "Carstens Defends Mexico Outlook for Growth, Inflation (Update2)"

SHIELD THE US ECONOMY PLEASE!

Bloomberg.com: U.S.: "Evans Says Fed Must Guard Against 'Cost' of Bigger Housing Drop "

US CUSTOMERS TO KEEP THEIR HOMES!

Bloomberg.com: U.S.: "Countrywide to Refinance Up to $16 Billion of Loans (Update6) "

MARKETS: IN A STATE OF FEAR?

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide

US STOCKS UP!

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide: "U.S. Stocks Advance on Earnings; Apple, American Express Rally"

MÉXICO: ¡SEGURO ANTITERRORISMO!

Seguro antiterrorismo para captar capitales - El Universal - Finanzas: "Seguro antiterrorismo para captar capitales"

¡GLOBALIZACIÓN CREA TENSIÓN!

Globalización, factor de tensión - El Universal - Finanzas: "Globalización, factor de tensión"

L'EURO RECULE APRÈS NOUVEAU RECORD 1.4347!

L'euro bat un nouveau record, à 1,4347 dollar, puis recule nettement - 20minutes.fr: "L'euro bat un nouveau record, à 1,4347 dollar, puis recule nettement"

RISKE D'UNE "CHUTE BRUTALE" DU DOLLAR?

Rato estime que le risque d'une "chute brutale" du dollar existe - 20minutes.fr: "Rato estime que le risque d'une 'chute brutale' du dollar existe"

IRAK MUST ACT IMMEDIATELY!

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide: "Iraq Must Act `Immediately' Against Kurdish Rebels, Rice Says"

OIL FALLS ON TURKEY!

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide: "Oil Falls as Turkey Signals Talks May Avert Attack on Kurds"

DOES FED SUPPORT PAULSON?

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide: "Fed Signals Support for Paulson Plan to Help Commercial Paper "

ASIAN STOCKS CLIMB!

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide: "Asian Stocks Climb, Led by China Mobile; Hon Hai Advances"

lundi, octobre 22, 2007

¡WALL STREET ESTA SEMANA!

Wall Street mirará ganancias en busca de signos desaceleración Reuters.com: "Wall Street mirará ganancias en busca de signos desaceleración Lunes 22 de Octubre, 2007 9:24 GMT"

¿MONEDAS ESTABLES ESTA SEMANA?

Monedas A.Latina se mantendrán fuertes ante debilidad del dólar Reuters.com: "Monedas A.Latina se mantendrán fuertes ante debilidad del dólar Lunes 22 de Octubre, 2007 11:44 GMT"

¿CÓMO VA MÉXICO HOY?¡

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-¿Qué dicen los analistas? 22 de octubre Reuters.com: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-¿Qué dicen los analistas? 22 de octubre Lunes 22 de Octubre, 2007 1:08 GMT"

COMMODITIES FALL!

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide: "Copper, Oil Lead Commodity Declines; Demand May Slow (Update3)"

US INFLATION: MINUS FOOD, ENERGY PLEASE!

Bloomberg.com: Economy: "Mishkin Says Inflation Minus Food, Energy Is a `Better Guide' "

US: GRADUAL CREDIT RECOVERY!

Bloomberg.com: Economy: "Fed's Kroszner Says Credit Recovery May Be `Gradual' (Update1)"

JAPAN: BANK LOANS UP!

Bloomberg.com: Economy: "Japan's Demand for Bank Loans Improves, Survey Shows (Update1)"

JAPAN MAY SLOW!

Bloomberg.com: Economy: "Japan Government Cuts View on Spending, Homebuilding (Update1)"

EUROPE: INFLATION RISK UP!

Bloomberg.com: Economy: "ECB Officials Say Inflation Risks Have Increased (Update4)"

US COMPANIES: WORRIED!

Bloomberg.com: Economy: "U.S. Companies See More Slowing in Housing, Growth, Survey Says "

EUROPEAN STOCKS DECLINE!

Bloomberg.com: Europe: "European Stocks Drop; BHP, Philips, Electrolux, RBS Decline"

HONG KONG DOLLAR: 3 YEAR HIGH!

Bloomberg.com: Asia: "Hong Kong Dollar Rises to 3-Year High on Speculation Peg to End "

US STOCKS DECLINE!

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide: "U.S. Stocks Decline on Growth Concern; Exxon, Newmont Retreat "

WEAK MEXICAN PESO?

Bloomberg.com: Exclusive: "Weak Mexican Peso Shows Oil Threatens Growth, Surplus (Update4)"

L'ASIE EN FORTE BAISSE!

Les Bourses d'Asie en forte baisse, l'euro bat un nouveau record - 20minutes.fr: "Les Bourses d'Asie en forte baisse, l'euro bat un nouveau record"

US PAULSON: LEGACY ON BAILOUT?

Bloomberg.com: Opinion: "Paulson Stakes His Legacy on Subprime Bailout: Kevin Hassett "

ASIAN STOCKS FALL!

Bloomberg.com: Worldwide: "Asian Stocks Fall on Concern Growth to Slow; Toyota, BHP Drop "

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Analyses Back-up: Check: PESO, EURO; JAPAN, YEN; CHINA, YUAN; STERLING, U.K.; DOLLAR, UNITED STATES

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