--º--
vendredi, juin 05, 2009
US CONSUMER CREDIT HAD THE 2nd-BIGGEST DROP ON RECORD!
WORLD ECONOMY: NO SIGNS OF "V-SHAPED" RECOVERY!
"WAY TOO EARLY" TO DECLARE US SLUMP OVER?
BANQUE CENTRAL EUROPÉENNE: ..INDEPENDENCE INTACTE...VRAIMENT?
MÉXICO: ¿CÓMO VA HOY?..Viernes, junio 05, 2009
| Titulares
| Reuters: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 5 de junio"
DOLLAR MAY APPRECIATE TO 1.33 PER EURO BY THE END OF JUNE!
US JOBLESS UP TO 9.4%..HIGHEST SINCE 1983!...."LESS AWFUL" THAN FORECAST THOUGH!
SPANISH OUTPUT SLUMPS ALMOST A FIFTH ON RECESSION!
JAPAN'S BUSINESSMEN BRING "BENTO" FOR LUNCH AS POCKET MONEY DWINDLES!
OMC: LE CHÔMAGE PARTIEL EST PLUS EFFICACE QUE LE PROTECTIONNISME: LAMY
UK BROWN'S FUTURE IN DOUBT AS 5th MINISTER QUITS...POUND FALLS!
jeudi, juin 04, 2009
UK KEEPS RATE AT 0.5%, REFRAINS FROM EXPANDING STIMULUS!
EUROPE: NO IMMEDIATE PLAN TO CUT RATES, INCREASE ASSET PURCHASES!...OK?
VENEZUELA'S CHÁVEZ MOVES TO NATIONALIZE CHEMICALS-MAKERS!
ZONE EURO: LA BCE A REVISÉ EN FORTE BAISSE SA PRÉVISION DE RÉCESSION DE 4.6% EN 2009!
MÉXICO: ¿CÓMO VA HOY?....Jueves, junio 04, 2009
| Titulares
| Reuters: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 4 de junio"
EUROPE: TRICHET AIM TO HEAL ECB RIFT....SUCCEEDING?
JAPAN'S COMPANIES CUT SPENDING BY RECORD; PROFITS SLUMP!
UK PRIME MINISTER GORDON BROWN RESISTS CALLS TO QUIT!
INDIA TO ALLOW MORE FOREIGN INVESTMENTS, SELL STAKES IN STATE FIRMS....BRAVO!
RUSSIA CUTS RATE FOR THE 3th TIME IN 6 WEEKS!
FRANCE: LE TAUX DE CHÔMAGE ATTEINT 8.7% AU 1er TRIMESTRE!
SWEDEN'S KRONA TRADES NEAR 6-WEEK LOW ON LATVIA DEVALUATION CONCERN!
US, UK TRACK RECORDS BACK AAA RATINGS, FITCH SAYS!
GLOBAL AIRLINE LOSSES TO BE "SUBSTANTIALLY WORSE" THAN FORECAST!
mercredi, juin 03, 2009
MEXICO'S BONDS GAIN AFTER ORTIZ COMMENTS ON YIELDS!
US SERVICES SHRINK; JOB LOSSES MOUNT!
MONDE: L'OIT CRAINT UNE CRISE SOCIALE PENDANT HUIT ANS!
MÉXICO: ¿CÓMO VA HOY?...Miércoles, junio 03, 2009
| Titulares
| Reuters: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 3 de junio"
DOLLAR TO REBOUND, INFLATION OVERDONE!
US BUDGET DEFICIT THREATENS FINANCIAL STABILITY!
GERMANY'S MERKEL MAULS CENTRAL BANKS!
JAPAN: ECONOMY NO LONGER IN FREE FALL?
GERMANY'S MERKEL SAYS ECB BOWED TO GLOBAL PRESSURE ON ASSETS!
INDONESIA LOWERS RATE FOR 7th STRAIGHT MONTH!
EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK CAN EXPAND ASSET PURCHASES!..CONCERN IN GERMANY?
AUSTRALIA UNEXPECTEDLY SKIRTS GLOBAL RECESSION!
LA POLOGNE FAIT FIGURE D'EXCEPTION AU COEUR D'UNE EUROPE EN CRISE!...VRAIMENT?
CHINA: TWITTER, BING RESTRICTED BEFORE TIANANMEN ANNIVERSARY!
mardi, juin 02, 2009
EUROPE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE RISES TO HIGHEST SINCE 1990!
SWINE FLU IS NO TYPICAL PANDEMIC; BUT A PANDEMIC NONETHELESS?
MÉXICO. ¿CÓMO VA HOY?...Martes, junio 02, 2009
| Titulares
| Reuters: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 2 de junio"
US PENDING HOME RESALES SURGE THE MOST SINCE 2001!
CITIGROUP STUCK WITH BERNANKE OFFER RIVAL BANKS PLAN TO REFUSE!
JP MORGAN, AMEX WILL TAP STOCK MARKETS TO REPAY TARP!
SWITZERLAND'S ECONOMY SHRINKS MOST IN 15 YEARS!
OUVERTURE DU CAPITAL JP MORGAN ET AMEX POUR SORTIR DU TARP!
LE CHÔMAGE POURRAIT TOUCHER 400,000 PERSONNES À NEW YORK CITY!
EURO'S RALLY MAY BE IN "LAST STAGE" UBS SAYS!
AUSTRALIA KEEPS RATE AT 49-YEAR LOW 3% FOR 2nd MONTH!
lundi, juin 01, 2009
BRAZIL STOCKS, BONDS, CURRENCY RALLY ON CHINA GROWTH!
US CONSUMER SPENDING FALLS ON UNEMPLOYMENT!
JAPAN MAY BE SLIPPING INTO DEFLATION, RECORD OUTPUT GAP SHOWS!
CHINA'S MANUFACTURING GROWS ADDING TO RECOVERY SIGNS!
FMI: LA DEUXIÈME JEUNESSE! AUJOURD'HUI IL EST RECONNUE, SOLLICITÉ COMME JAMAIS!
MÉXICO: ¿CÓMO VA HOY?...Lunes, junio 01, 2009
| Titulares
| Reuters: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 1 de junio"
GM DEALERS TURN TO SERVICE FOR SURVIVAL!
NORTH KOREA MAY BE PREPARING ANOTHER LONG-DISTANCE MISSILE TEST..GATES SAYS!
COMMODITIES RISE FASTEST SINCE 1985!...WOW!
WALL STREET CETTE SEMAINE!...HISTORIQUE? (Juin 01 --Juin 05, 2009)
EURO: NOBEL MUNDELL SEES RALLY UNWIND!
GM TO FILE FOR BANKRUPTCY TODAY! .. (Jun 01, 2009)
dimanche, mai 31, 2009
OBAMA: "NO ONE MORE CONCERNED" ABOUT DEFICITS?
GM BANKRUPTCY PLAN WINS SUPPORT!
RUBLE: BEST MONTH SINCE 1995?
GOLD: 1st MONTHLY GAIN IN 3?...$1,000 SOON?
MÉXICO TO SHRINK MOST SINCE 1932!...WHAT?
DOLLAR POSTS BIGGEST MONTHLY DROP THIS YEAR!
EUROPE: 0% D'INFLATION!
L'EUROPE S'INQUIÈTE DES RISQUES D'UNE DÉFLATION PROLONGÉE!
LE MONDE CETTE SEMAINE...GULP! (Agenda Juin 01 -- Juin 05, 2009)
MÉXICO: SU ECONOMÍA ESTA SEMANA....¡GULP!..(Agenda junio 01 -- junio 05, 2009)
| Titulares
| Reuters: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-Atentos a General Motors y cifras EEUU"
WORLD ECONOMY THIS WEEK...GULP!...(Agenda Jun 01 -- Jun 05, 2009)
AHEAD OF THE CURVE!
UPCOMING THIS WEEK: POLITICS AND ECONOMY: ---EVENTS THAT MAY MOVE GLOBAL FINANCIAL MARKETS (Update 1 of 3)---
(Jun 01 -- June 05,
WORLD MARKETS-----; ----Dollar Recovery, Possible?, ----Oil, Gasoline and Food Prices---NORTH AMÉRICA: ***United States: Personal income (01); Personal Spending (01); Personal Consumption Expenditure Deflator (01); ISM Manufacturing (01); Construction Spending (01); Pending Home Sales (02); ABC Consumer Confidence (02); Mortgage Applications (03); ISM Services (03); Factory Orders (03); FED's Dudley Speaks (04); Productivity & Labor Costs (04); FED's Bernanke Speaks (04); Unemployment Rate (05), FED's Rosengreen, Yellen Speak (05); Consumer Credit (05); ; México; Manufacturas: confianza, tendencia, pedidos (02); Manufacturas por Estado (03); Electricidad por estado (03); ; Confianza del Consumidor (04); Indicadores Compuestos --Coincidente y Adelantado -- (05); ; ; Canada; GDP (01); Raw Materials Prices (01);BoC Rate Decision (04); PMI Index (04); Unemployment Rate(05); ; EUROPE;; Britain: Housing Survey (Sunday 31); House Prices (01); PMI Manufacturing (01); Net Consumer Credit (02); Mortgage Approvals (02); PMI Construction (02);Consumer Confidence (02); PMI Services (03); BoE Rate Decision (04); Producer Inflation (05); ; Switzerland; GDP(02); Inflation (05); ; Euro-Zone: PMI Manufacturing (01);Unemployment Rate (02); PMI Services (03); PMI Composite (03); GDP (03); Household Consumption (03); Gross Fixed Capital (03); Producer Prices (03); Retail Sales (04); ECB Rate Decision (04); ; France: PMI Manufacturing (01); PMI Services (03); Unemployment Rate (04); ; Germany: PMI Manufacturing (01); PMI Services (03); ; Italy: ; ---ASIA, PACIFIC: ---Japan: BoJ Kamezaki Speaks (03); Capital Spending (03); ; Australia; Manufacturing (Sunday 31); Retail Sales (31); Commodity Index (01); Current Account (02); RBA Rate Decision (02); Services (02); GDP (03); Trade Balance (04); Construction (04); ; -- New Zealand:Commodity Prices (04); ; ----: ;----
---OUTSTANDING--- :
SUNDAY 31:
MONDAY 01:
United States: ISM Manufacturing
Euro-Zone: PMI Manufacturing
Germany: PMI Manufacturing
United Kingdom: PMI Manufacturing
Canada: GDP
TUESDAY 02:
United Kingdom: Consumer Confidence
Euro-Zone: Unemployment Rate
Switzerland: GDP
Australia: RBA Rate Decision
WEDNESDAY 03:
United States: ISM Services
Euro-Zone: PMI Services; Household Consumption; Producer Prices;
Japan: Capital Spending
Germany: PMI Services
United Kingdom: PMI Services
Australia: GDP
THURSDAY 04:
United States: Productivity
Euro-Zone: Retail Sales: ECB Rate Decision
United Kingdom: BoE Rate Decision
France: Unemployment Rate
Canada: BoC Rate Decision
México: Confianza del Consumidor
New Zealand: Commodity Prices
FRIDAY 05:
United States: Unemployment Rate
United Kingdom: Producer Inflation
Canada: Unemployment Rate
México: Indicadores Compuestos; Coincidente y Adelantado
SATURDAY 06:
SUNDAY 07:
---------º---------
WORLD CRISIS WEEKLY WRAP-UP!..(May 25 -- May 29, 2009)
WORLD CRISIS WEEKLY WRAP-UP (May 25 – May 29, 2009)
(Update 1 of 3)
INTRODUCTION:
Markets and many world reknown economists are upbeat. Does the following 7-day events correspond to this perception?
GOOD NEWS:
UNITED STATES: Consumer confidence experienced the biggest increase since April 2003. From 40.8 to 54.9.-- US existing homes sales + 2.9% April -----Dollar would hold up even after a US credit downgrade!--Recession may end next quarter, some analysts say! ---Did obama succeed in preventing a 2nd great depression? Some in his team think so. ASIA: Japan, India revival, some output data shows!..Scattered Illusion?
BAD NEWS:
WORLD: L'ONU reporte à fin juin un sommet sur la crise financière.. Gold jumps up to almost $1,000 dólares!---Some experts considered that Financial volatility (VIX) is more likely to reach 40 than to get to 20!...AMERICA: United States: Existing homes sales -3.5% below 2008’s---- Home Prices -19.1% year to 1ST quarter---- 10-year notes: steepest 2-month loss since 2.----Durable orders near lowest in 13 years; jobless' 17 month----Dollar posts biggest monthly drop this year! -----FED's Chairman Bernanke bid to lift housing is being scuttled by rising rates-----New normal: 2% GDP growth, 8% unemployment rate----- Economy at risk of double-dip recession!------Recovery will be more slowly than expected; Obama’s government officials said!-------Canada's economy to shrink more than forecast; Deficits to expand!...México: ¡Cae 5.6% actividad económica (IGAE)! Mexican peso weakens after unemployment jumps more than expected!-----.EUROPE: Le chômage pourrait toucher 239 millions; ----- Euro-Zone: l'exclusion de certains membres s'impose!.... Germany: Allemagne; L'inflation est revenue à zero! Business sentiment up from 83.7 to 84.2. GDP -3.8% 1st quarter on exports, business spending fell though consumption +0.5% from previous quarter. Poland kept rate at 3.75% but reduced cash reserves from banks, from 3.5% to 3%.... Must cut spending as deficit widens "horribly"!... Hungary kept rate at 9.5%, but forint revival may allow cuts later on.------France: le nombre de chômeurs en hausse!----United Kingdom's Prime Minister Brown goes full circle as debt raises ratingdo...ASIA: Japon, les suicides se multiplient à cause de la crise!----Retail sales fall for 8th month on job woes!... India credit rating may come under pressure over budget!------China: Yuan halting gains to aid exports?------ AFRICA: South Africa in recession 1st since 1992, -6.4% 1st quarter, annualised. Mining worst since 1960.
GEO-POLITICS, MARKETS AND NATURAL DISASTERS:
La Chine a du mal à contrôller son allié Nord-Corée------North Korea was condemned after conducting a nuclear test, its second since 2006. - Fires 6th missile this week-----Iran: Ahmadinejad campaign site...attacked!---- ----Grippe a: votre attention, s'il vous plaît! UK swine flu toll is really 30,000, says leading scientist----- Visteon, a car-parts supplier, filed for bankruptcy----- British Airways followed Air France-KLM, with a net loss for its fiscal year----- GM finally in Bankruptcy (June). Hearings on Fiat’s stake in Chrysler, to speed exit from bankruptcy---- Tylenol: drugmakers asked to limit doses, toughen ...Lowest Liborhides "exceptionally wide" bank spreads!-----
CONCLUSION:
Pessimistic news continued to overwhelm optimistic ones.----Global Industries (cars, airlines, etc) are in for a tough ride!-----North Korea missiles and nuclear dangerous games as well as the Swine Flu (affecting worldwide tourism and the airlines industry) are not helping world economy either!---- Will this be a short-lived bull market?....What do you think?
US ECONOMY THIS WEEK...GULP!..(Agenda Jun 01 -- Jun 05, 2009)
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Analyses Back-up: Check: PESO, EURO; JAPAN, YEN; CHINA, YUAN; STERLING, U.K.; DOLLAR, UNITED STATES
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