Created in 2007 to give you a timely warning about the causes and consequences of the next global financial crisis since 1997, through the exposition of fundamental events analysis. ---(Tuesday Through Thursday Updates: 3 p.m. México City; 4 p.m. NY)---


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TODAY'S "TOP TEN " CRISIS EVENTS
--º--

samedi, juillet 11, 2009

OBAMA: "STIMULUS" WORKED AS INTENDED, URGES PATIENCE!

Obama Says Economic Stimulus Plan Worked as Intended (Update2) - Bloomberg.com: "Obama Says Economic Stimulus Plan Worked as Intended (Update2)"

GEITHNER SAYS PACE OF ECONOMIC DECLINE "SLOWED DRAMATICALLY"

Geithner Says Pace of Economic Decline ‘Slowed Dramatically’ - Bloomberg.com: "Geithner Says Pace of Economic Decline ‘Slowed Dramatically’"

AMÉRICA LATINA Y LA CRISIS: ¿CÓMO VA?

ANALISIS-A.Latina frena recorte de tasas; pronta salida a crisis
| Negocios
| Reuters
: "ANALISIS-A.Latina frena recorte de tasas; pronta salida a crisis"

GRIPE (INFLUENZA PORCINA): MÁS PELIGROSA EN OBESOS!

CORREGIDO-Obesidad surge como factor de riesgo en gripe severa
| Titulares
| Reuters
: "CORREGIDO-Obesidad surge como factor de riesgo en gripe severa"

MÉXICO ESTA SEMANA....GULP! (Agenda julio 13 -- julio 17, 2009)

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-Nerviosos ante datos empresas y econom�a EEUU
| Titulares
| Reuters
: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-Nerviosos ante datos empresas y econom�a EEUU"

WALL STREET PERD 0.45% AU DERNIER JOUR D'UNE SEMAINE MOROSE!

Wall Street perd 0,45% au dernier jour d'une semaine morose - Le Monde.fr: "Wall Street perd 0,45% au dernier jour d'une semaine morose"

US CONSUMER SENTIMENT FALLS ON JOBS LOSSES!

U.S. Economy: Consumer Sentiment Falls on Job Losses (Update1) - Bloomberg.com: "U.S. Economy: Consumer Sentiment Falls on Job Losses (Update1)"

YEN, DOLLAR RISE AS US SENTIMENT ENCOURAGES DEMAND FOR REFUGE!

Yen, Dollar Rise as U.S. Sentiment Encourages Demand for Refuge - Bloomberg.com: "Yen, Dollar Rise as U.S. Sentiment Encourages Demand for Refuge"

US TREASURIES RISE FOR WEEK ON STOCKS SLIDE!

Treasuries Rise for Week as Growth Outlook Spurs Safety Trade - Bloomberg.com: "Treasuries Rise for Week as Growth Outlook Spurs Safety Trade"

YEN RISES MOST SINCE MAY ON REFUGE DEMAND!

Yen Rises Most Since May as Economic View Fuels Refuge Demand - Bloomberg.com: "Yen Rises Most Since May as Economic View Fuels Refuge Demand"

vendredi, juillet 10, 2009

US TRADE DEFICIT NARROWS UNEXPECTEDLY TO 10-YEAR LOW AS EXPORTS ROSE!

Trade Deficit in U.S. Narrowed in May as Exports Rose (Update2) - Bloomberg.com: "Trade Deficit in U.S. Narrowed in May as Exports Rose (Update2)"

LA CHINE: LES MULTINATIONALES S'ORGANISENT FACE À L'AUGMENTATION DES RISQUES POLITIQUES!

Les multinationales s'organisent face �l'augmentation des risques politiques - Asie-Pacifique - Le Monde.fr: "Les multinationales s'organisent face �l'augmentation des risques politiques"

MÉXICO: ¿CÓMO VA HOY?..(Viernes, julio 10, 2009)

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 10 de julio
| Titulares
| Reuters
: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 10 de julio"

S&P 500 COMPLETES 4th STRAIGHT WEEKLY LOSS!

U.S. Stocks Fall, S&P 500 Completes Fourth Straight Weekly Loss - Bloomberg.com

DOLLAR WILL REMAIN WORLD'S MAIN RESERVE CURRENCY! ...NO SERIOUS ALTERNATIVE!...YES!

Dollar Will Remain World’s Main Reserve Currency (Update1) - Bloomberg.com: "Dollar Will Remain World’s Main Reserve Currency (Update1)"

ECONOMISTS RAISE U.S. OUTLOOK AS RECESSION FADES!

Economists Raise U.S. Outlook as Recession Fades, Survey Shows - Bloomberg.com: "Economists Raise U.S. Outlook as Recession Fades, Survey Shows"

UK PRODUCER PRICES DROP BY MOST SINCE 2001!

U.K. Annual Producer Prices Drop by Most Since 2001 (Update1) - Bloomberg.com: "U.K. Annual Producer Prices Drop by Most Since 2001 (Update1)"

G-8's ECONOMIC DOMINANCE FACES CHALLENGE FROM CHINA, INDIA, SOUTH AFRICA!

G-8’s Economic Dominance Faces Challenge From China, India - Bloomberg.com: "G-8’s Economic Dominance Faces Challenge From China, India"

LOST "ANIMAL SPIRITS" MAY WORSEN ECONOMY, ROUBINI, SHILLER SAY!

Lost ‘Animal Spirits’ May Worsen Economy, Roubini, Shiller Say - Bloomberg.com: "Lost ‘Animal Spirits’ May Worsen Economy, Roubini, Shiller Say"

RENAULT NE VOIT PAS DE REPRISE DU MARCHÉ AUTOMOBILE AVANT 2011!

Carlos Ghosn ne voit pas de reprise du march�automobile avant 2011 - Economie - Le Monde.fr: "Carlos Ghosn ne voit pas de reprise du march�automobile avant 2011"

CHINA'S EXPORTS FALL FOR 8th MONTH ON GLOBAL SLUMP!

China’s Exports Fall for Eighth Month on Global Slump (Update1) - Bloomberg.com: "China’s Exports Fall for Eighth Month on Global Slump (Update1)"

jeudi, juillet 09, 2009

CHILE CUTS RATE TO RECORD 0.5% ON SLOWING ECONOMY!

Chile Central Bank Cuts Rate to Record 0.5% on Slowing Economy - Bloomberg.com: "Chile Central Bank Cuts Rate to Record 0.5% on Slowing Economy"

G-8, G-5 DODGE DOLLAR SPAT, VOW TO AVOID DEVALUATIONS!

G-8, G-5 Dodge Dollar Spat, Vow to Avoid Devaluations (Update1) - Bloomberg.com: "G-8, G-5 Dodge Dollar Spat, Vow to Avoid Devaluations (Update1)"

LE FMI RENOUE AVEC L'OPTIMISME!

Conjoncture : le FMI renoue avec l'optimisme - L'�conomie en crise - Le Monde.fr: "Conjoncture : le FMI renoue avec l'optimisme"

MÉXICO: ¿CÓMO VA HOY?..(Jueves, julio 09, 2009)

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 9 de julio
| Titulares
| Reuters
: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 9 de julio"

US COMMERCIAL REAL STATE: A BIG RISK FOR BANKS?

Commercial Real Estate Is a ‘Time Bomb,’ Maloney Says (Update2) - Bloomberg.com: "Commercial Real Estate Is a ‘Time Bomb,’ Maloney Says (Update2)"

INDIA WHOLESALE INFLATION TUMBLES FOR 4th STRAIGHT WEEK!

India Wholesale Prices Fall for Fourth Straight Week (Update1) - Bloomberg.com: "India Wholesale Prices Fall for Fourth Straight Week (Update1)"

CHINA'S SURGING LOANS MAY ADD TO ASSET-BUBBLE RISK!

China’s Surging Loans May Add to Asset-Bubble Risk (Update1) - Bloomberg.com: "China’s Surging Loans May Add to Asset-Bubble Risk (Update1)"

AUSTRALIA'S UNEMPLOYMENT RATE UP TO 5.8%!

Australian Employers Cut 21,400 Jobs as Exports Slow (Update3) - Bloomberg.com: "Australian Employers Cut 21,400 Jobs as Exports Slow (Update3)"

GILT "RUSSIAN ROULETTE" DETERS PIMCO FROM U.K. DEBT!

Gilt ‘Russian Roulette’ Deters Pimco From U.K. Debt (Update1) - Bloomberg.com: "Gilt ‘Russian Roulette’ Deters Pimco From U.K. Debt (Update1)"

LONDRES VA RENFORCER LE CONTRÔLE DU SECTEUR BANCAIRE!

Londres va renforcer le contr�le du secteur bancaire - Le Monde.fr: "Londres va renforcer le contr�le du secteur bancaire"

G-8 SAYS RECOVERY IS STILL TOO WEAK!

G-8 Says Recovery Is Too Weak to Withdraw Stimulus (Update2) - Bloomberg.com: "G-8 Says Recovery Is Too Weak to Withdraw Stimulus (Update2)"

mercredi, juillet 08, 2009

G-8 LEADERS DISAGREE OVER ECONOMIC STIMULUS!

G-8 Spars Over Stimulus, Leaves Exit Strategies Open (Update2) - Bloomberg.com: "G-8 Spars Over Stimulus, Leaves Exit Strategies Open (Update2)"

PRUDENT, LE FMI APPELLE LES MARCHÉS À NE PAS DEVANCER LA REPRISE ÉCONOMIQUE!

Prudent, le FMI appelle les march�s �ne pas devancer la reprise �conomique - L'�conomie en crise - Le Monde.fr: "Prudent, le FMI appelle les march�s �ne pas devancer la reprise �conomique"

MÉXICO: ¿CÓMO VA HOY?..(Miércoles, julio 08, 2009)

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 8 de julio
| Titulares
| Reuters
: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 8 de julio"

IMF SEES STRONGER GLOBAL REBOUND IN 2010 FROM 2009 RECESSION!

IMF Sees Stronger Global Rebound From ’09 Recession (Update3) - Bloomberg.com: "IMF Sees Stronger Global Rebound From ’09 Recession (Update3)"

EUROPE CONTRACTS MOST ON RECORD ON EXPORTS, INVESTMENT!

Europe’s Economy Shrinks Most on Record on Exports, Investment - Bloomberg.com: "Europe’s Economy Shrinks Most on Record on Exports, Investment"

LA FRANCE TRAVERSE SA PIRE RÉCESSION DEPUIS L'APRÈS-GUERRE!

La France traverse sa pire r�cession depuis l'apr�s-guerre - L'�conomie en crise - Le Monde.fr: "La France traverse sa pire r�cession depuis l'apr�s-guerre"

YUAN DEPOSES DOLLAR ON CHINA BORDER!

Yuan Deposes Dollar on China Border in Sign of Future (Update1) - Bloomberg.com: "Yuan Deposes Dollar on China Border in Sign of Future (Update1)"

UK HOUSE PRICES UNEXPECTEDLY FALL!

U.K. June House Prices Unexpectedly Fall 0.5%, Halifax Says - Bloomberg.com: "U.K. June House Prices Unexpectedly Fall 0.5%, Halifax Says"

mardi, juillet 07, 2009

OIL, GAS MARKET SPECULATION MAY FACE RESTRICTIONS!

Oil, Gas Market Speculation May Face Restrictions (Update2) - Bloomberg.com: "Oil, Gas Market Speculation May Face Restrictions (Update2)"

US BANKS MAY HAVE TO RAISE $300 BILLION, DEUTSCHE BANK SAYS!

U.S. Lenders May Have to Raise $300 Billion, Deutsche Bank Says - Bloomberg.com: "U.S. Lenders May Have to Raise $300 Billion, Deutsche Bank Says"

L'UE VEUT SE DOTER D'AMORTISSEURS DE CRISE FINANCIÈRE!

L'UE veut se doter d'amortisseurs de crise financi�re - Le Monde.fr: "L'UE veut se doter d'amortisseurs de crise financi�re"

MÉXICO: ¿CÓMO VA HOY?..(Martes, julio 07, 2009)

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 7 de julio
| Titulares
| Reuters
: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 7 de julio"

UNITED STATES: A 2nd STIMULUS PACKAGE NEEDED?

Obama Adviser Says U.S. Should Mull Second Stimulus (Update2) - Bloomberg.com: "Obama Adviser Says U.S. Should Mull Second Stimulus (Update2)"

lundi, juillet 06, 2009

OBAMA RESETS RUSSIAN TIES WITH ARMS CUTS, AFGHAN DEAL!

Obama Resets Russian Ties With Arms Cuts, Afghan Deal (Update2) - Bloomberg.com: "Obama Resets Russian Ties With Arms Cuts, Afghan Deal (Update2)"

PROCYCLICITÉ, BÂLE II ET DÉFICITS AU MENU DE L'EUROGROUPE!

Procyclicit�, B�le II et d�ficits au menu de l'Eurogroupe - Le Monde.fr: "Procyclicit�, B�le II et d�ficits au menu de l'Eurogroupe"

MÉXICO: ¿CÓMO VA HOY?..(Lunes, julio 06, 2009)

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 6 de julio
| Titulares
| Reuters
: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 6 de julio"

US SERVICES CONTRACT AT SLOWEST PACE IN 9 MONTHS!

U.S. ISM Service Industries Index Increased to 47 (Update2) - Bloomberg.com: "U.S. ISM Service Industries Index Increased to 47 (Update2)"

WORLD ECONOMY THIS WEEK....GULP!.. (Agenda July 06 -- July 10, 2009)

(July 06 -- July 10, 2009)

AHEAD OF THE CURVE!

UPCOMING THIS WEEK: POLITICS AND ECONOMY: ---EVENTS THAT MAY MOVE GLOBAL FINANCIAL MARKETS (Update 1 of 3)---

(July 06 -- July 10, 2009)---Outstanding Events That May Move Global Financial Markets:

WORLD MARKETS-----; ----Dollar Recovery, Possible?, ----Oil, Gasoline and Food Prices---NORTH AMÉRICA: ***United States: ISM Services Composite (06);ABC Consumer Confidence (06); MBA Mortgage Applications (08); Consumer Credit (08); Housing Starts (09); FED's Duke Speaks (09); Initial Jobless Claims (09) Wholesale Inventories (09);Trade Balance (10);Imports Inflation (10); U of Mich Confidence (10); ; México;Confianza del Consumidor (06); Indicadores Compuestos; Coincidente y Adelantado (07); Balanza Comercial (10); ;Canada; PMI (06); Unemployment Rate (10); Trade Balance (10); New Housing Price Index (10); ; ; EUROPE; ; Britain:New Car Regstrations (Sunday 05); Industrial Production (06); Manufacturing Production (06); Consumer Confidence (06); GDP Estimate (06); Trade Balance (09); BoE Rate Decision (09); Producer Inflation (10); ;Switzerland; Unemployment Rate (08); ; Euro-Zone: Investor Confidence (06); GDP (08); Household Consumption (08); GRoss Fixed Capital (08); Government Expenditure (08); ECB Monthly Report (09); ; France: Trade Balance (06); BoF Business Sentiment (08); Industrial Production (10); Current Account (10); Government Balance (10); ; Germany: Industrial Production (08); Inflation (09); Trade Balance (09); Current Account (09); ; Italy: Industrial Production (10); ; ---ASIA, PACIFIC: ---Japan: BoJ Quarterly Branch Manager's Meeting (06); ; Leading & Coincident Index (06); Machine Orders (06); ; Trade Balance (06); ; Current Account (06); Bank Lending (06); ECO Watchers Survey, Current & Outlook (08); Bankruptcies (08); Bonds & Stocks Net Buying (08); Domestic Corporate Goods Inflation (09); :Australia; Securities Inflation (06); RBA Rate Decision (06); Consumer Confidence (07); Investment Lending (08); Consumer Inflation Expectation (09); Unemployment Rate (09); ; -- New Zealand: Business Opinion Survey (06); Card Spending (08); ; ----: ;----

---OUTSTANDING--- :

----------------------


World: ... Swine Flu...Global Impact(Pandemic): ----Iran:Post-Election trouble to Continue.More Violence to Come?----North Korea: Missile Crazy?;Latvia: Devaluation a big possibility? Could it unsettle other economies in the region?----United Kingdom: Will publish a regulatory banking frame to try to reduce systemic risk.


----------------------


SUNDAY 05:


United Kingdom: New Car Registrations (Sunday 05)

MONDAY 06:

United States: ISM Services, Composite; Obama goes to Russia (3 day visit); Euro-Zone: Investor Confidence Japan: Bank of Japan Quarterly Branch Manager's Meeting; Leading & Coincident Index; Machine Orders; Trade Balance; Current Account; Bank Lending United Kingdom: Industrial Production; Consumer Confidence; GDP Estimate Australia: RBA Rate Decision; New Zealand: Business Opinion Survey; México: Confianza del Consumidor

TUESDAY 07:

Australia: Consumer Confidence ; México: Indicadores Compuestos: Coincidente y Adelantado

WEDNESDAY 08:

Euro-Zone: GDP; Household Consumption; Gross Fixed Capital; Government Expenditure; Japan: Eco Watchers Survey, Current & Outlook; Bankruptcies;Germany: Industrial Production; Switzerland: Unemployment Rate; New Zealand: Card Spending; Indonesia: General Elections; G-8 Countries will meet for 2 days in Italy (to deal mainly with World Economy and Climate Change issues)

THURSDAY 09:

United States: Housing Starts; Euro-Zone: ECB Monthly Report; Germany: Inflation; Trade Balance; Current Account; United Kingdom: Trade Balance; Bank of England Rate Decision; Australia: Unemployment Rate

FRIDAY 10:

United States: Trade Balance; U. of Mich. Confidence; United Kingdom: Producer Inflation; France: Industrial Production; Government Balance; Italy: Industrial Production; Canada: Unemployment Rate; Trade Balance; México: Balanza Comercial

SATURDAY 11:

SUNDAY 12:

---------º---------

US ECONOMY THIS WEEK...GULP! (Agenda July 06 -- July 10, 2009)

U.S. Services Probably Shrank at Slowest Rate in Nine Months - Bloomberg.com: "U.S. Services Probably Shrank at Slowest Rate in Nine Months"

LES MARCHÉS ACTIONS ET FOREX AVANT LE G8!

Les march�s actions et Forex dans l'expectative avant le sommet du G8: "Les march�s actions et Forex dans l'expectative avant le sommet du G8"

MONDE: LA AGENDA DE LA SEMAINE...GULP!...(Juillet 06-- Juillet 10, 2009)

A suivre cette semaine, le sommet du G8: "L'AGENDA DE LA SEMAINE
A suivre cette semaine, le sommet du G8"

MÉXICO ESTA SEMANA II....GULP! (Agenda julio 06 -- julio 10, 2009)

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-Estables, descuentan resultado elecciones
| Titulares
| Reuters
: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-Estables, descuentan resultado elecciones"

EUROPE: TRICHET EXHORTE LES BANQUES COMMERCIALES À OCTROYER DU CRÉDIT!

Trichet exhorte les banques commerciales �octroyer du cr�dit - Le Monde.fr: "Trichet exhorte les banques commerciales �octroyer du cr�dit"

FRANCE SAYS CHANGING WORLD REQUIRES MORE CURRENCY COORDINATION!

France Says Changing World Requires More Currency Coordination - Bloomberg.com: "France Says Changing World Requires More Currency Coordination"

EARNINGS DROP WORLDWIDE AS JOB LOSSES HURT CONSUMERS!

Earnings Drop Worldwide as Job Losses Hurt Consumers - Bloomberg.com: "Earnings Drop Worldwide as Job Losses Hurt Consumers"

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