Created in 2007 to give you a timely warning about the causes and consequences of the next global financial crisis since 1997, through the exposition of fundamental events analysis. ---(Tuesday Through Thursday Updates: 3 p.m. México City; 4 p.m. NY)---


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TODAY'S "TOP TEN " CRISIS EVENTS
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vendredi, octobre 07, 2011

EURO CRISIS : SPAIN CREDIT RATING CUT 2 LEVELS!

Spain’s Credit Rating Cut Two Levels - Bloomberg: Spain’s Credit Rating Cut Two Levels

WORLD CRISIS : U.S. STOCKS, EURO SLIP AFTER EURO ZONE DOWNGRADES !!

U.S. stocks, euro slip after euro zone downgrades | Reuters: U.S. stocks, euro slip after euro zone downgrades

DOLLAR : U.S. HIRING GETS MOMENTUM !

September jobs report: Hiring up, unemployment unchanged - Oct. 7, 2011: September jobs report: Hiring gains momentum

EURO CRISE : FITCH DÉGRADE L' ESPAGNE ET L' ITALIE !

Fitch d�grade la note de l'Espagne et de l'Italie: Fitch d�grade la note de l'Espagne et de l'Italie

MÉXICO ¿CÓMO VA HOY? (Viernes, oct. 07, 2011)

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 7 de octubre | Titulares | Reuters: MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 7 de octubre

EURO CRISIS : MOODY 'S DOWNGRADES PORTUGUESE BANKS !

Moody’s Takes Rate Action on Portuguese Banks - Bloomberg: Moody’s Takes Rate Action on Portuguese Banks

EURO CRISIS : SCHIZOPHRENIA ON BANKS !

Politics drives Europe's schizophrenia on banks | Reuters: Politics drives Europe's schizophrenia on banks

YUAN : U.S. -- CHINA TENSIONS RISE !

U.S. tensions rise over China's currency policy - CNN.com: U.S. tensions rise over China's currency policy

EURO CRISIS : MERKEL -- SARKOZY DIVERGENT !

Rem�des �la crise : Paris et Berlin divergent avant le Conseil europ�en: Rem�des �la crise : Paris et Berlin divergent avant le Conseil europ�en

jeudi, octobre 06, 2011

EURO CRISIS : MERKEL-SARKOZY DIVIDED ON DEFAULT THREAT TO BANKS !

Merkel-Sarkozy Divided on Default Threat to Banks: Euro Credit - Bloomberg: Merkel-Sarkozy Divided on Default Threat to Banks: Euro Credit

EURO CRISIS : TRICHET LEAVES ECB DIVIDED !

Trichet leaves ECB, and opinion, divided | Reuters: Trichet leaves ECB, and opinion, divided

EURO CRISIS : EUROPEAN BANKS FACE NEW STRESS TESTS !

Banks face new European stress tests - CNN.com: Banks face new European stress tests

EURO CRISE : FRANCE : L' ÉCONOMIE À L 'ARRÊT !

Croissance en France en 2011 : l'�conomie �l'arr�t, �0,0% au deuxi�me trimestre, l'emploi sous tension: L'�conomie fran�aise �l'arr�t d'ici la fin de l'ann�e

MÉXICO ¿CÓMO VA HOY? (Jueves, oct. 06, 2011)

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 6 de octubre | Titulares | Reuters: MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 6 de octubre

EURO CRISIS ? .... GLOBAL RISK ! : GEITHNER

Europe Debt Crisis Poses Global Risk: Geithner - Bloomberg: Europe Debt Crisis Poses Global Risk: Geithner

STERLING : U.K. ECONOMY : CAMERON PLEADS FOR PATIENCE !

Cameron pleads for patience as economy stalls | Reuters: Cameron pleads for patience as economy stalls

GEOPOLITICS : IRAN : EPIC BANK SCANDAL HITS AHMADINEJAD !

Epic bank scandal investigation hits Ahmadinejad - CNN.com: Epic bank scandal investigation hits Ahmadinejad

EURO CRISE : LA BCE DEVRAIT ALLONGER SES PRÊTS AUX BANQUES !

La BCE devrait allonger la dur�e de ses pr�ts aux banques: La BCE devrait allonger la dur�e de ses pr�ts aux banques

mercredi, octobre 05, 2011

WORLD CRISIS : GOLD REBOUNDS AS A " PROXY FOR FEAR " AMID EURO WOES!

Gold Rebounds as a ‘Proxy for Fear’ Amid Europe Woes - Bloomberg: Gold Rebounds as a ‘Proxy for Fear’ Amid Europe Woes

EURO CRISIS : SERVICES STIR EURO RECESSION WORRY !

Services data stir euro recession worry | Reuters: Services data stir euro recession worry

EURO CRISIS : IMF PLEDGES SUPPORT FOR EUROPE 'S BANKS !...REALLY ?

IMF pledges support for Europe's banks - CNN.com: IMF pledges support for Europe's banks

MÉXICO ¿CÓMO VA HOY? (Miércoles, Oct. 05, 2011)

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 5 de octubre | Titulares | Reuters: MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 5 de octubre

EURO CRISE : ALLEMAGNE : RETOUR AU DEUTSCHE MARK ?

Le retour au deutsche mark pl�bicit�par les Allemands Et vous souhaitez-vous un retour au franc ?: Une majorit�d'Allemands en faveur d'un retour au deutsche mark

EURO CRISIS : MORE EUROPEAN DOWNGRADES COMING UP SOON ?

Moody’s Sees More European Downgrades - Bloomberg: Moody’s Sees More European Downgrades

WORLD CRISIS : "DEPRESSION " BACK IN MAINSTREAM LEXICON !

Analysis - Depression back in mainstream lexicon | Reuters: Analysis - "Depression" back in mainstream lexicon

WORLD CRISIS : U.S. -- CHINA MOVING TOWARD TRADE WAR ?

U.S. and China moving toward trade war? – Business 360 - CNN.com Blogs: U.S. and China moving toward trade war?

EURO CRISE : TRICHET REFUSE QUE LA BCE FINANCE UN FONDS DE SECOURS !

Trichet refuse que la BCE finance un fonds de secours: Trichet refuse que la BCE finance un fonds de secours

mardi, octobre 04, 2011

WORLD ECONOMY (Weekly Agenda Oct. 05 -- 07, 2011)

AHEAD OF THE CURVE!
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(Oct. 05 -- 07, 2011)
WORLD:  ; NORTH AMÉRICA: ***United States:   Mortgage Applications (05); ISM Services (05); DOE Oil Inventories (05); Weekly Jobless (06); Bloomberg Consumer Comfort (06); ICSC Chain Store Sales (07); Unemployment Rate (07); Wholesale Inventories (07); FED's Lockhart Speaks (07); Consumer Credit (07);   México;Coincident and Leading Indexes (05);Public Safety Perception (05); Manufacturing by State (06); Electricity by State (06); Consumer Prices (07); Producer Prices (07);    ; Canada; Building Permits (06); IVEY PMI (06); Unemployment Rate (07);   ;EUROPE; ; Britain: PMI Services (05); GDP (05); Current Account (05); Business Investment (05); Bank of England Rate Decision (06); BOE Asset Purchase Target (06); Producer Prices (07);    ;Switzerland: Consumer Price Index (06); Unemployment Rate (07);     ; EURO-ZONE;  PMI Services (05); PMI Composite (05); Retail Sales (05); ECB Rate Decision(06);    ; Germany:  Factory Orders (06); Industrial Production (07);   :France: PMI Services (05);Government Balance (07); Trade Balance (07);     : Italy: Services PMI (05)  ;---ASIA, PACIFIC:---JapanBoJ Rate Decision (07); Coincident and Leading Indexes (07);    ; Australia: Retail Sales (05); Construction Index (06); China: HSBC Services PMI (Saturday 08);  ;  
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YUAN : U.S. RISKS TRADE WAR : CHINA !

China Says U.S. Risks Trade War as Senate Considers Measure Targeting Yuan - Bloomberg: China Says U.S. Risks Trade War as Senate Considers Measure Targeting Yuan

WORLD CRISIS : U.S. "CLOSE TO FALTERING" : FED 'S BERNANKE

U.S. close to faltering, Fed ready to act - Bernanke | Reuters: U.S. "close to faltering", Fed ready to act - Bernanke

EURO CRISIS : EU PREPARING BANK RESCUES ?

EU preparing bank rescues amid Greece doubts | Reuters: EU preparing bank rescues amid Greece doubts

EURO CRISIS : ITALY 'S RATINGS CUT 3 NOTCHES !

Moody's cut Italy ratings by 3 notches | Reuters: Moody's cut Italy ratings by 3 notches

EURO CRISIS : EUROPEAN MARKETS TAKE ANOTHER BEATING !

World markets take another beating - Oct. 4, 2011: Europe bank fears rattle world markets

DOLLAR : LA FED S'ENGAGE À SOUTENIR UNE ÉCONOMIE "CHANCELANTE" !

La Fed demande au Congr�s de soutenir la reprise: La Fed s'engage �soutenir une �conomie "chancelante"

MÉXICO ¿CÓMO VA HOY? (Martes, oct. 04, 2011)

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 4 de octubre | Titulares | Reuters: MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 4 de octubre

WORLD CRISIS : CHINA 'S FALL IS THE REAL GLOBAL THREAT !

View: China’s Fall, Not Its Rise, Is the Real Global Threat - Bloomberg: View: China’s Fall, Not Its Rise, Is the Real Global Threat

EURO CRISIS : RECESSION IN GERMANY ?

Goldman Cuts Global GDP Estimate; Sees Recessions - Bloomberg: Goldman Cuts Global GDP Estimate; Sees Recessions

EURO CRISIS : GREECE NEW AID UNDER REVIEW !

Greek haircut under review, no new euro zone aid until November | Reuters: Greek haircut under review, no new euro zone aid until November

WORLD CRISIS : EURO PROBLEMS HIT U.S. BANKS !

Eurozone problems hit U.S. bank shares - CNN.com: Eurozone problems hit U.S. bank shares

EURO CRISE : GRÈCE : DES EFFORTS BUDGÉTAIRES SUPPLÉMENTAIRES ?....NFPR !

La zone euro sous pression: La zone euro reporte �nouveau le sauvetage de la Gr�ce

lundi, octobre 03, 2011

WORLD CRISIS : RECESSION RISK OVERTAKING "NEW NORMAL" FORECAST" : GROSS

Recession Risk Overtaking ’New Normal’ Forecast, Says Gross - Bloomberg: Recession Risk Overtaking ’New Normal’ Forecast, Says Gross

WORLD CRISIS : GLOBAL MANUFACTURING SHRINKS FOR 1st TIME SINCE 2009 !

Global manufacturing shrinks for first time since 2009 | Reuters: Global manufacturing shrinks for first time since 2009

WORLD CRISIS : WORLD STOCKS SLAMMED BY GREECE BUDGET !

World markets slammed by Greece budget - Oct. 3, 2011: Greek budget woes hit world stocks

EURO CRISE : WALL STREET EMPORTÉ PAR LES CRAINTES SUR LA GRÈCE !

Wall Street en nette baisse sur fond de craintes sur le cas grec en zone euro: Wall Street emport�par les craintes sur la Gr�ce

MÉXICO ¿CÓMO VA HOY? (Lunes, oct. 03, 2011)

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 3 de octubre | Titulares | Reuters: MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 3 de octubre

WORLD CRISIS : U.S. DOLLAR BEATING ALL ASSETS IN SEPTEMBER !

Dollar Beating All Assets in September Undermines S&P U.S. Debt Downgrade - Bloomberg: Dollar Beating All Assets in September Undermines S&P U.S. Debt Downgrade

WORLD ECONOMY (Weekly Agenda Oct. 03 -- 07, 2011)

AHEAD OF THE CURVE!
####################################
(Oct. 03 -- 07, 2011)
WORLD:  ; NORTH AMÉRICA: ***United States: Construction Spending (03); ISM Manufacturing (03);  Vehicle Sales (03); FED's Lacker Speaks (03); FED's Chairman Bernanke Testifies (04); Factory Orders (04);   Mortgage Applications (05); ISM Services (05); DOE Oil Inventories (05); Weekly Jobless (06); Bloomberg Consumer Comfort (06); ICSC Chain Store Sales (07); Unemployment Rate (07); Wholesale Inventories (07); FED's Lockhart Speaks (07); Consumer Credit (07);   México;BANXICO'S Private Sector Economic Specialists' Survey (03); Family Remittances (03); Manufacturing Expectations (03); Producer Confidence (03); Factory Orders (03); Consumer Confidence (04); Coincident and Leading Indexes (05);Public Safety Perception (05); Manufacturing by State (06); Electricity by State (06); Consumer Prices (07); Producer Prices (07);    ; Canada; Building Permits (06); IVEY PMI (06); Unemployment Rate(07);   ;EUROPE; ; Britain: Business Barometer (Sunday 02); Hometrack Housing (Sunday 02); Manufacturing PMI (03); Halifax House Prices (04); PMI Construction (04); PMI Services (05); GDP (05); Current Account (05); Business Investment (05); Bank of England Rate Decision (06); BOE Asset Purchase Target (06); Producer Prices (07);    ;Switzerland: Retail Sales (03); PMI (03); Consumer Price Index (06); Unemployment Rate (07);     ; EURO-ZONEManufacturing PMI (03); Producer Prices (04); PMI Services (05); PMI Composite (05); Retail Sales (05); ECB Rate Decision(06);    ; GermanyManufacturing PMI (03); Factory Orders (06); Industrial Production (07);   :France: Manufacturing PMI (03); PMI Services (05);Government Balance (07); Trade Balance (07);     : Italy: Manufacturing PMI (03);  Budget Balance (03); Services PMI (05)  ;---ASIA, PACIFIC:---JapanTankan Manufacturing (Sunday 02); Vehicle Sales (03); Monetary Base (03); Labor Cash Earnings (04); BoJ Rate Decision (07); Coincident and Leading Indexes (07);    ; Australia: Manufacturing (Sunday 02); Trade Balance (04); Building Approvals (04); RBA Rate Decision (04); Commodity Prices (04); Services (04); Retail Sales (05); Construction Index (06);    ; New Zealand; Commodity Prices (03); Business Opinion (04);  Services (04);    :ChinaServices PMI (03); HSBC Services PMI (Saturday 08);  ;  
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EURO CRISIS : NY FED MAY DEMAND INFO FROM EUROPE BANKS !

NY Fed May Demand Reports From Europe Banks - Bloomberg: NY Fed May Demand Reports From Europe Banks

EURO CRISIS : GREECE 'S DRACONIAN STEPS Vs. BANKRUPTCY.....NOT ENOUGH?

Greece to miss deficit targets despite austerity | Reuters: Greece to miss deficit targets despite austerity

EURO CRISIS : GREECE BUDGET DEFICITS MISS BAILOUT TARGETS !

Greece budget deficits miss bailout targets - Oct. 2, 2011: Greece budget deficits miss bailout targets

EURO CRISE : DE NOUVELLES ÉTAPES POUR SAUVER LA ZONE EURO !

De l'argent pour la Gr�ce: L'Europe se pr�pare �de nouvelles �tapes pour sauver la zone euro

dimanche, octobre 02, 2011

WORLD ECONOMY (Weekly Agenda Oct. 03 -- 07, 2011)



AHEAD OF THE CURVE!
####################################
(Oct. 03 -- 07, 2011)
WORLD:  ; NORTH AMÉRICA: ***United States: Construction Spending (03); ISM Manufacturing (03);  Vehicle Sales (03); FED's Lacker Speaks (03); FED's Chairman Bernanke Testifies (04); Factory Orders (04);   Mortgage Applications (05); ISM Services (05); DOE Oil Inventories (05); Weekly Jobless (06); Bloomberg Consumer Comfort (06); ICSC Chain Store Sales (07); Unemployment Rate (07); Wholesale Inventories (07); FED's Lockhart Speaks (07); Consumer Credit (07);   México; BANXICO'S Private Sector Economic Specialists' Survey (03); Family Remittances (03); Manufacturing Expectations (03); Producer Confidence (03); Factory Orders (03); Consumer Confidence (04); Coincident and Leading Indexes (05);Public Safety Perception (05); Manufacturing by State (06); Electricity by State (06); Consumer Prices (07); Producer Prices (07);    ; Canada; Building Permits (06); IVEY PMI (06); Unemployment Rate (07);   ;EUROPE; ; Britain: Business Barometer (Sunday 02); Hometrack Housing (Sunday 02); Manufacturing PMI (03); Halifax House Prices (04); PMI Construction (04); PMI Services (05); GDP (05); Current Account (05); Business Investment (05); Bank of England Rate Decision (06); BOE Asset Purchase Target (06); Producer Prices (07);    ;Switzerland: Retail Sales (03); PMI (03); Consumer Price Index (06); Unemployment Rate (07);     ; EURO-ZONE; Manufacturing PMI (03); Producer Prices (04); PMI Services (05); PMI Composite (05); Retail Sales (05); ECB Rate Decision (06);    ; Germany: Manufacturing PMI (03); Factory Orders (06); Industrial Production (07);   :France: Manufacturing PMI (03); PMI Services (05); Government Balance (07); Trade Balance (07);     : Italy: Manufacturing PMI (03);  Budget Balance (03); Services PMI (05)  ;---ASIA, PACIFIC:---Japan: Tankan Manufacturing (Sunday 02); Vehicle Sales (03); Monetary Base (03); Labor Cash Earnings (04); BoJ Rate Decision (07); Coincident and Leading Indexes (07);    ; Australia: Manufacturing (Sunday 02); Trade Balance (04); Building Approvals (04); RBA Rate Decision (04); Commodity Prices (04); Services (04); Retail Sales (05); Construction Index (06);    ; New Zealand; Commodity Prices (03); Business Opinion (04);  Services (04);    :China: Services PMI (03); HSBC Services PMI (Saturday 08);  ;  
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U.S. ECONOMY THIS WEEK (Agenda, Oct. 02--07, 2011)

Payroll Gain Probably Failed to Cut U.S. Unemployment as Confidence Waned - Bloomberg: Payroll Gain Probably Failed to Cut U.S. Unemployment as Confidence Waned

EURO CRISE : AIDE DE 4.75 MILLIARDS À TROIS BANQUES ESPAGNOLES ?

Bruxelles autorise une aide de 4,75 milliards d'euros �trois banques espagnoles: Bruxelles autorise une aide de 4,75 milliards d'euros �trois banques espagnoles

MÉXICO ESTA SEMANA (Agenda, oct. 03--07, 2011)

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-Aguardan datos clave EEUU entre ruido euro | Negocios | Reuters: MERCADOS MEXICANOS-Aguardan datos clave EEUU entre ruido euro

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