Created in 2007 to give you a timely warning about the causes and consequences of the next global financial crisis since 1997, through the exposition of fundamental events analysis. ---(Tuesday Through Thursday Updates: 3 p.m. México City; 4 p.m. NY)---


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TODAY'S "TOP TEN " CRISIS EVENTS
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vendredi, mars 25, 2011

ECONOMY : U.S. FED...LESS NEED FOR EXTRA STIMULUS?

Fed Has Less Need for Extra Stimulus as Economy Gains Monthly, Evans Says - Bloomberg: "Fed Has Less Need for Extra Stimulus as Economy Gains Monthly, Evans Says"

DOLLAR : U.S. CONSUMER SENTIMENT FALLS MORE THAN FORECAST !

U.S. Consumer Sentiment Falls More Than Forecast Amid Rising Fuel Prices - Bloomberg: "U.S. Consumer Sentiment Falls More Than Forecast Amid Rising Fuel Prices"

DOLLAR : U.S. ECONOMY GROWS MORE THAN EXPECTED !

U.S. bumps up Q4 growth, seen slowing in early 2011 | Reuters: "U.S. bumps up Q4 growth, seen slowing in early 2011"

EURO CRISIS : PORTUGAL DOWNGRADED FOR SECOND TIME !

Portugal downgraded for second time - CNN.com: "Portugal downgraded for second time"

EURO CRISIS : EU AGREES VAGUE FUND FINANCING !

EU agrees eurozone fund financing - CNN.com: "EU agrees eurozone fund financing"

MÉXICO ¿CÓMO VA HOY? (Viernes, marzo 25, 2011)

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 25 de marzo | Titulares | Reuters: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 25 de marzo"

EURO CRISIS : EU CUTS FUTURE AID FUND AFTER GERMANY BALKS !

EU Cuts Future Aid Fund’s Start-Up Capital After Germany Balks - Bloomberg: "EU Cuts Future Aid Fund’s Start-Up Capital After Germany Balks"

EURO CRISIS : EU LEADERS' SUMMIT HIGHLIGHTS !

Highlights - EU leaders discuss European economy, Libya | Reuters: "Highlights - EU leaders discuss European economy, Libya"

EURO CRISE : APRÈS FITCH , S&P's ABAISSE LE PORTUGAL !

Standard and Poor's s'invite au sommet europ�en en abaissant la note du Portugal: "Standard and Poor's s'invite au sommet europ�en en abaissant la note du Portugal"

jeudi, mars 24, 2011

DOLLAR : U.S. DURABLE GOODS ORDERS UNEXPECTEDLY DROP !

U.S. Economy: Goods Orders Unexpectedly Fall, Claims Drop - Bloomberg: "U.S. Economy: Goods Orders Unexpectedly Fall, Claims Drop"

EURO CRISIS : FITCH CUTS PORTUGAL RATINGS ON PM RESIGNATION !

Fitch cuts Portugal ratings on PM resignation | Reuters: "Fitch cuts Portugal ratings on PM resignation"

EURO CRISIS : PORTUGAL GOVERNMENT COLLAPSE COMPLICATES EU SUMMIT!

Portugal government collapse complicates EU summit | Reuters: "Portugal government collapse complicates EU summit"

DOLLAR : U.S. HOUSEHOLD WEALTH DOWN 23% EN TWO YEARS !

Fed: Household wealth down 23% in two years - Mar. 24, 2011: "Household wealth down 23% in 2 years - Fed"

EURO CRISE : PORTUGAL AU CENTRE DU SOMMET DE BRUXELLES !

La crise portugaise au centre du sommet de Bruxelles: "La crise portugaise au centre du sommet de Bruxelles"

MÉXICO ¿CÓMO VA HOY? (jueves, marzo 24, 2011)

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 24 de marzo | Titulares | Reuters: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 24 de marzo"

EURO CRISIS : MOODY'S CUTS RATINGS ON 30 SPANISH BANKS !

Moody’s Cuts Ratings on 30 Spanish Banks After Country Downgrade - Bloomberg: "Moody’s Cuts Ratings on 30 Spanish Banks After Country Downgrade"

EURO CRISIS : EU TO DELAY DECISION ON BAILOUT FUND !

EU leaders set to delay decision on bailout fund | Reuters: "EU leaders set to delay decision on bailout fund"

EURO CRISIS : U.K. OSBORNE SAYS EUROPEAN SITUATION " UNSTABLE " !

Osborne says European situation unstable | Reuters: "Osborne says European situation 'unstable'"

JAPAN : U.S. TOYOTA PLANTS MAY HAVE TO SHUT DOWN!

Toyota tells U.S. plants 'prepare to shut down' - Mar. 23, 2011: "Toyota tells U.S. plants 'prepare to shut down'"

STERLING : LE BUDGET BRITANNIQUE : CROISSANCE ET AUSTÉRITÉ ?

George Osborne pr�sente le budget britannique 2011/2012: "Le budget britannique tente de conjuguer croissance et aust�rit�"

mercredi, mars 23, 2011

WORLD ECONOMY (Weekly Agenda -- March 24--25, 2011)

AHEAD OF THE CURVE!
####################################
(March 24 -- 25, 2011)
WORLD:JAPAN ?....MIDDLE EAST ? ; NORTH AMÉRICA: ***United States: Durable Goods (24); Weekly Jobless (24); Bloomberg Consumer Comfort (24); FED's Kocherlakota Speaks (25); GDP 4th Q T (25); Personal Consumption (25); FED's Evans Speaks (25); FED's Lockhart Speaks (25); U. of Mich. Confidence(25); FED's Plosser Speaks (25); México; Unemployment Rate (24);; Inflation March 1st Half (24); Trade Balance (25)  ;EUROPEEU SUMMIT IN BRUSSELS (24-25);  ; Britain:  Retail Sales (24);   ;Switzerland : KOF March Economic Forecast (25); ; EURO-ZONE :  PMI Composite (24); PMI Manufacturing (24); PMI Services (24); Total Job Seekers (24); GDP (25); M3 (25); ; Germany:PMI Manufacturing (24); PMI Services (24); GFK Consumer Confidence (25);IFO Business Climate (25); IFO Current Assessment (25); IFO Expectations (25); Baden-Württemberg State Elections (after 50 years of rule) (Sunday 27);   ; France: Business Confidence (24); ;Italy: Consumer Confidence (24); ;---ASIA, PACIFIC:---Japan: Consumer Price Index (24);
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DOLLAR : U.S. NEW HOME SALES FALL TO LOWEST ON RECORD!

U.S. New-Home Sales Unexpectedly Fall to Lowest on Record - Bloomberg: "U.S. New-Home Sales Unexpectedly Fall to Lowest on Record"

JAPAN QUAKE MAY CUT GLOBAL GROWTH BY 0.5% !

Japan Quake May Cut Global Growth to 3.8%, Morgan Stanley Says - Bloomberg: "Japan Quake May Cut Global Growth to 3.8%, Morgan Stanley Says"

EURO CRISIS : WORRIES ON IRELAND.....NOW EU PREPARES TO HELP BANKS !

EU prepares to help banks amid worries on Ireland | Reuters: "EU prepares to help banks amid worries on Ireland"

EURO CRISIS : PORTUGAL PM SOCRATES RESIGNS!

Portugal PM Socrates resigns after austerity rejected | Reuters: "Portugal PM Socrates resigns after austerity rejected"

OIL ABOVE $105....THE PERFECT STORM?

Oil above $105: 'It's the perfect storm' - Mar. 23, 2011: "$105 oil: 'It's the perfect storm'"

EURO CRISE : PORTUGAL : LE PREMIER MINISTRE SOCRATES JETTE L'ÉPONGE !

Le Premier ministre portugais jette l'�ponge: "Le Premier ministre portugais jette l'�ponge"

MÉXICO ¿CÓMO VA HOY? (Mié., marzo 23, 2011)

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 23 de marzo | Titulares | Reuters: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 23 de marzo"

EURO CRISIS : EUROPE 'S BANKS WOULD NEED $355 IN S&P STRESS TESTS SCENARIO !

Europe’s Banks Would Need $355 Billion in S&P Stress Scenario - Bloomberg: "Europe’s Banks Would Need $355 Billion in S&P Stress Scenario"

STERLING : U.K. BUDGET TO SHOW TOUGH DEFICIT GOALS STILL IN REACH !....BRAVO!

Budget to show tough deficit goals still in reach | Reuters: "Budget to show tough deficit goals still in reach"

MARKETS : STOCKS FACE TREMENDOUS RISKS !

Market Report - Mar. 22, 2011 - CNNMoney.com: "Stocks face 'tremendous' risks"

YEN : JAPAN : LA BOURSE DE TOKYO REPASSE DANS LE ROUGE !

La Bourse de Tokyo impact�par le co�t des d�gats de la catastrophe du 11 mars dernier: "La Bourse de Tokyo repasse dans le rouge"

mardi, mars 22, 2011

EURO CRISIS : IRELAND, PORTUGAL BONDS SINK ON DEBT CONCERN !

Irish, Portuguese Bonds Sink on Debt Concern; Stocks Retreat - Bloomberg: "Irish, Portuguese Bonds Sink on Debt Concern; Stocks Retreat"

STERLING : U.K. INFLATION REVIVES TALK OF EARLY RATE RISE!

Inflation revives talk of early interest rate rise | Reuters: "Inflation revives talk of early interest rate rise"

EURO CRISIS : PORTUGAL GOVERNMENT RISKS COLLAPSE !

Portugal government risks collapse before EU summit | Reuters: "Portugal government risks collapse before EU summit"

LIBYA 'S GADDAFI IS SITTING ON A POT OF GOLD !

Gold key to financing Gaddafi struggle - CNN.com: "Gold key to financing Gaddafi struggle"

MÉXICO ¿CÓMO VA HOY? (Martes, marzo 22, 2011)

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 22 de marzo | Titulares | Reuters: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 22 de marzo"

MÉXICO ¿CÓMO VA HOY? (Martes, marzo 22, 2011)

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 22 de marzo | Titulares | Reuters: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 22 de marzo"

STERLING : L 'INFLATION BRITANNIQUE AU PLUS HAUT DEPUIS FIN 2008 !

L'inflation britannique au plus haut depuis fin 2008: "L'inflation britannique au plus haut depuis fin 2008"

GLOBAL CRISIS : ALL CLEAR SOUNDED ? ...REALLY ?

All Clear Sounded as Markets Shrug Off Multiple Black Swans - Bloomberg: "All Clear Sounded as Markets Shrug Off Multiple Black Swans"

EURO CRISIS : PORTUGAL GDP TO SHRINK IN 2011 !

Portugal Says 2011 GDP Will Shrink as Spending, Investment Drop - Bloomberg: "Portugal Says 2011 GDP Will Shrink as Spending, Investment Drop"

YEN : JAPAN : TOKYO BUSINESSES STRUGGLE AFTER QUAKE !

Tokyo businesses struggle after quake | Video | Reuters.com

DOLLAR : WHEN TO CUT THE U.S. DEFICIT, SOONER OR LATER ?

Economist survey: Split on deficit cutting, sooner or later - Mar. 21, 2011: "When to cut the deficit: Sooner or later?"

LE JAPON MET EN GARDE CONTRE TOUTE NOUVELLE HAUSSE DU YEN !

Le Japon met en garde contre toute nouvelle hausse du yen: "Le Japon met en garde contre toute nouvelle hausse du yen"

YEN : JAPAN 'S EARTHQUAKE ...WORST THING AT WORST ...

THE WEEKLY GLOBAL INVESTOR: YEN : JAPAN 'S EARTHQUAKE ...WORST THING AT WORST ...: "Roubini Says Earthquake Is `Worst Thing' at Worst Time for Japan Economy - Bloomberg: 'Roubini Says Earthquake Is `Worst Thing' at Worst Tim..."

lundi, mars 21, 2011

CHINA BLOCKING GOOGLE 'S GMAIL SERVICE !....FEAR?

Google Says Chinese Government Blocking Gmail Service - Bloomberg: "Google Says Chinese Government Blocking Gmail Service"

STERLING : U.K. HOUSEHOLD INCOMES TAKE BIGGEST HIT IN 30 YEARS !

Household incomes take biggest hit in 30 years - IFS | Reuters: "Household incomes take biggest hit in 30 years - IFS"

OIL JUMPS AS LIBYA CRISIS ESCALATES !

Oil prices rise on Libya violence - Mar. 21, 2011: "Oil jumps above $103 as Libya crisis escalates"

EURO CRISE : ACCORD SUR LE FONDS, L' IRLANDE INQUIÈTE !

Accord sur le fonds "zone euro", l'Irlande inqui�te: "Accord sur le fonds 'zone euro', l'Irlande inqui�te"

EURO CRISIS : GERMANY : MERKEL 'S PARTY STUMBLES!

Merkel’s Party Stumbles, Greens Soar as Atomic Fears Surface - Bloomberg: "Merkel’s Party Stumbles, Greens Soar as Atomic Fears Surface"

STERLING : U.K. BUDGET LOOKS TO DELIVER GROWTH ON A SHOESTRING!

Budget looks to deliver growth on a shoestring | Reuters: "Budget looks to deliver growth on a shoestring"

YEN : DISASTER COULD COST JAPAN $235 BILLION !

World Bank: Quake could cost Japan $235 billion – Business 360 - CNN.com Blogs: "World Bank: Quake could cost Japan $235 billion"

EURO CRISE : NOUT WELLINK À LA BCE ?

Le ministre des finances N�erlandais verrait d'un bon oeil la candidature de Nout Wellink: "BCE : le ministre des Finances n�erlandais pr�t �proposer la candidature de Nout Wellink"

dimanche, mars 20, 2011

WORLD ECONOMY (Weekly Agenda -- March 21--25, 2011)

AHEAD OF THE CURVE!
####################################
(March 21 -- 25, 2011)
WORLD:JAPAN ?....MIDDLE EAST ? ; NORTH AMÉRICA: ***United States: Chicago Nat. Activity Index (21); Existing Home Sales (21); FED's Pianalto Speaks (22); House Price Index (22); MBA Mortgage Applications (23); New Home Sales (23); DOE Oil Inventories (23); Durable Goods (24); Weekly Jobless (24); Bloomberg Consumer Comfort (24); FED's Kocherlakota Speaks (25); GDP 4th Q T (25); Personal Consumption (25); FED's Evans Speaks (25); FED's Lockhart Speaks (25); U. of Mich. Confidence (25); FED's Plosser Speaks (25); México; Goods and Services,  Supply and Demand (22); Retail Sales (23); Services (23); Unemployment Rate (24);; Inflation March 1st Half (24); Trade Balance (25)  ; Canada; Retail Sales (22); Leading Indicators (22);  ;EUROPE; EU SUMMIT IN BRUSSELS (24-25);  ; Britain: Rightmove House Prices (21); Consumer Price Index (22); Public Finances (22); CBI Trends Total Orders (22); Bank of England Minutes (23); Loans for House Purchase (23);Exchequer's Osborne Announces Budget (23); Retail Sales (24);   ;Switzerland :M3 (21); Trade Balance (22); KOF March Economic Forecast (25); ; EURO-ZONE : Consumer Confidence (23); PMI Composite (24); PMI Manufacturing (24); PMI Services (24); Total Job Seekers (24); GDP (25); M3 (25); ; Germany:PMI Manufacturing (24); PMI Services (24); GFK Consumer Confidence (25);IFO Business Climate (25); IFO Current Assessment (25); IFO Expectations (25); Baden-Württemberg State Elections (after 50 years of rule) (Sunday 27);   ; France: PMI Manufacturing (21); PMI Services (21); Business Confidence (24); ;Italy: Consumer Confidence (24); ;---ASIA, PACIFIC:---Japan: BoJ Miyao Speaks (22); All Industry Activity Index (22);Trade Balance (23); Consumer Price Index (24);    :Australia: CB Leading Index (23);  ;New Zealand; Credit Card Spending (21); Current Account (22); GDP (23); ;China: ;
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MEXICAN NATIONAL SOVEREIGNTY !!

MÉXICO ESTA SEMANA (Agenda marzo 21--25, 2011)

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-Atentos a tensiones en Libia y noticias Jap�n | Negocios | Reuters: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-Atentos a tensiones en Libia y noticias Jap�n"

LE MONDE : L'AGENDA DE LA SEMAINE (Mars 21--25, 2011)

Agenda de la semaine du 7 mars 2011: "A suivre cette semaine, le sommet des responsables europ�ens"

U.S. ECONOMY THIS WEEK (Agenda March 21--25, 2011)

Home Sales Probably Fell, Durables Rose: U.S. Economy Preview - Bloomberg: "Home Sales Probably Fell, Durables Rose: U.S. Economy Preview"

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