Created in 2007 to give you a timely warning about the causes and consequences of the next global financial crisis since 1997, through the exposition of fundamental events analysis. ---(Tuesday Through Thursday Updates: 3 p.m. México City; 4 p.m. NY)---


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TODAY'S "TOP TEN " CRISIS EVENTS
--º--

samedi, juillet 04, 2009

RUSSIA & AMERICA: BEST FRIENDS FOREVER?

America and Russia: Welcome to Moscow | The Economist: "Welcome to Moscow"

MÉXICO ESTA SEMANA....GULP! (Agenda julio 06 -- julio 10, 2009)

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-Estables, descuentan resultado elecciones
| Negocios
| Reuters
: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-Estables, descuentan resultado elecciones"

MAISONS-CAGES À LOUER À HONGKONG?

Maisons-cages �louer �Hongkong - Asie-Pacifique - Le Monde.fr: "Maisons-cages �louer �Hongkong"

CHINA NEEDS DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION FOR SUSTAINED RECOVERY!

China Needs Consumption for Recovery, Researcher Says (Update2) - Bloomberg.com: "China Needs Consumption for Recovery, Researcher Says (Update2)"

DOLLAR RISES VS EURO ON SIGNS ECONOMIC REBOUND IS FALTERING!

Dollar Rises Versus Euro on Signs Economic Rebound Is Faltering - Bloomberg.com: "Dollar Rises Versus Euro on Signs Economic Rebound Is Faltering"

NORTH KOREA CONTINUES TO FIRE MISSILES; S. KOREA, JAPAN CONDEMN!

North Korea Fires Missiles; S. Korea, Japan Condemn (Update4) - Bloomberg.com: "North Korea Fires Missiles; S. Korea, Japan Condemn (Update4)"

vendredi, juillet 03, 2009

LES BRIC, LOCOMOTIVES DÉJÀ BIEN VALORISÉES DES MARCHÉS ÉMERGENTES!

Les BRIC, locomotives d�j�bien valoris�es des march�s �mergents - Le Monde.fr: "Les BRIC, locomotives d�j�bien valoris�es des march�s �mergents"

ZONE EURO: LES SERVICES EN BAISSE!

Les services en baisse plus rapide en juin dans la zone euro - Le Monde.fr: "Les services en baisse plus rapide en juin dans la zone euro"

MÉXICO: ¿CÓMO VA HOY?..(Viernes, julio 03, 2009)

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 3 de julio
| Titulares
| Reuters
: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 3 de julio"

INDIA JOINS RUSSIA, CHINA IN QUESTIONING U.S. DOLLAR DOMINANCE!

India Joins Russia, China in Questioning U.S. Dollar Dominance - Bloomberg.com: "India Joins Russia, China in Questioning U.S. Dollar Dominance"

UNITED STATES: 7 BANKS SEIZED IN BUSIEST YEAR FOR CLOSURES SINCE 1992!

Seven U.S. Banks Seized in Busiest Year for Closures Since 1992 - Bloomberg.com: "Seven U.S. Banks Seized in Busiest Year for Closures Since 1992"

INDONESIA: ROOM FOR RATE CUT LIMITED AFTER 8th REDUCTION!

Indonesia Says Room for Rate Cut Limited After Eighth Reduction - Bloomberg.com: "Indonesia Says Room for Rate Cut Limited After Eighth Reduction"

CHINA'S ZENG WANTS MORE OVERSIGHT OF RESERVE-CURRENCY NATIONS!

Zeng Urges Oversight of Reserve-Currency Nations (Update3) - Bloomberg.com: "Zeng Urges Oversight of Reserve-Currency Nations (Update3)"

PÉTROLE: EN FORT BAISSE À CAUSE DE TAUX DE CHÔMAGE AMERICAIN!

Les cours du brut terminent en forte baisse �New York - Le Monde.fr: "Les cours du brut terminent en forte baisse �New York"

EMERGING-MARKET INFLOWS RESUME TO CAP RECORD QUARTER!

Emerging-Market Inflows Resume to Cap Record Quarter (Update2) - Bloomberg.com: "Emerging-Market Inflows Resume to Cap Record Quarter (Update2)"

jeudi, juillet 02, 2009

IMF SOFTENS LANGUAGE ON CURRENCY LABELING!

IMF Softens Language on Labeling Currencies Before China Report - Bloomberg.com: "IMF Softens Language on Labeling Currencies Before China Report"

EUROPE JOBLESS UP TO HIGHEST IN A DECADE!

Europe Unemployment Rate Rises to Highest in a Decade (Update1) - Bloomberg.com: "Europe Unemployment Rate Rises to Highest in a Decade (Update1)"

AUSTRALIA: ECONOMY "NOT SO WELL" AFTER ALL!

Australia Faces ‘Full Brunt’ of Global Recession as Exports Dip - Bloomberg.com: "Australia Faces ‘Full Brunt’ of Global Recession as Exports Dip"

EUROPE: TRICHET SIGNALS ECB RATES UNCHANGED FOR NEXT MONTHS!

Trichet Signals ECB Rates Unchanged for Next Months (Update2) - Bloomberg.com: "Trichet Signals ECB Rates Unchanged for Next Months (Update2)"

OBAMA: JOBS LOSSES "SOBERING", MORE TIME NEEDED FOR RECOVERY!

Obama Calls Jobs Losses ‘Sobering,’ Urges Innovation (Update1) - Bloomberg.com: "Obama Calls Jobs Losses ‘Sobering,’ Urges Innovation (Update1)"

ETATS-UNIS: LE CHÔMAGE À SON PLUS HAUT NIVEAU DEPUIS 26 ANS!

Le ch�mage �son plus haut niveau depuis 26 ans aux Etats-Unis - L'�conomie en crise - Le Monde.fr: "Le ch�mage �son plus haut niveau depuis 26 ans aux Etats-Unis"

MÉXICO: ¿CÓMO VA HOY?...(Jueves, julio 02, 2009)

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 2 de julio
| Titulares
| Reuters
: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 2 de julio"

US JOBLESS RATE HIGHEST IN 26 YEARS!

U.S. Economy: Job Cuts in June Deeper Than Forecast (Update3) - Bloomberg.com: "U.S. Economy: Job Cuts in June Deeper Than Forecast (Update3)"

IMF AUTHORIZES DEBUT BOND ISSUANCE TO FUND AID!

IMF Board Authorizes Debut Bond Issuance to Fund Aid (Update1) - Bloomberg.com: "IMF Board Authorizes Debut Bond Issuance to Fund Aid (Update1)"

CHINA FOREIGN INVESTMENT FACES UNPRECEDENTED DIFFICULTIES ON CRISIS!

China FDI Faces Unprecedented Difficulties on Crisis (Update3) - Bloomberg.com: "China FDI Faces Unprecedented Difficulties on Crisis (Update3)"

SWEDEN UNEXPECTEDLY CUTS KEY RATE TO RECORD 0.25%!

Sweden’s Central Bank Cuts Key Rate to Record 0.25% (Update1) - Bloomberg.com: "Sweden’s Central Bank Cuts Key Rate to Record 0.25% (Update1)"

INDIA ECONOMY MAY GROW 7.75% THIS YEAR!

India Economy May Grow 7.75% This Year, Ministry Says (Update2) - Bloomberg.com: "India Economy May Grow 7.75% This Year, Ministry Says (Update2)"

CHINA ALLOWS YUAN TRADE SETTLEMENT, OFFERS TAX BREAKS!

China Allows Yuan Trade Settlement, Offers Tax Breaks (Update1) - Bloomberg.com: "China Allows Yuan Trade Settlement, Offers Tax Breaks (Update1)"

L'ESPAGNE: LE CHÔMAGE RECULE POUR LE 2e MOIS CONSÉCUTIF!

Le ch�mage en Espagne recule pour le 2e mois cons�cutif en juin - Le Monde.fr: "Le ch�mage en Espagne recule pour le 2e mois cons�cutif en juin"

SPANISH PROPERTY PRICES NEED TO FALL ANOTHER 40%!

Grosvenor Says Spanish Property Prices Need to Fall Another 40% - Bloomberg.com: "Grosvenor Says Spanish Property Prices Need to Fall Another 40%"

CHINA SEEKS "STABLE" DOLLAR, MONETARY DIVERSIFICATION!

China Seeks ‘Stable’ Dollar, Monetary Diversification (Update2) - Bloomberg.com: "China Seeks ‘Stable’ Dollar, Monetary Diversification (Update2)"

mercredi, juillet 01, 2009

MÉXICO: ¿CÓMO VA HOY?..(Miércoles, julio 01, 2009)

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 1 de julio
| Titulares
| Reuters
: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 1 de julio"

LA CHINE VEUT UN DÉBAT SUR LES MONNAIES DE RÉSERVE AU G8!

La Chine veut un d�bat sur les monnaies de r�serve au G8 - Le Monde.fr: "La Chine veut un d�bat sur les monnaies de r�serve au G8"

US MANUFACTURING SHRINKS LEAST SINCE AUGUST 2008!

U.S. Economy: Manufacturing Contracts Least Since August 2008 - Bloomberg.com: "U.S. Economy: Manufacturing Contracts Least Since August 2008"

EURO HURTS SLOVAKIA, SLOVENIA AS SHOPPERS SEEK HUNGARY BARGAINS!

Euro Hurts Slovakia, Slovenia as Shoppers Seek Hungary Bargains - Bloomberg.com: "Euro Hurts Slovakia, Slovenia as Shoppers Seek Hungary Bargains"

JAPAN'S TANKAN CONFIDENCE REBOUNDS LESS THAN EXPECTED!

Japan’s Tankan Confidence Rebounds Less Than Expected (Update3) - Bloomberg.com: "Japan’s Tankan Confidence Rebounds Less Than Expected (Update3)"

JAPON: TANKAN: LES ENTREPRISES JAPONAISES ENTREVOIENT LE BOUT DU TUNNEL!

Les entreprises japonaises entrevoient le bout du tunnel: "Les entreprises japonaises entrevoient le bout du tunnel"

CHINA MANUFACTURING EXPANDS A 4th MONTH!

China Manufacturing Expands a Fourth Month, PMI Shows (Update3) - Bloomberg.com: "China Manufacturing Expands a Fourth Month, PMI Shows (Update3)"

mardi, juin 30, 2009

US DELINQUENCIES DOUBLE ON LEAST-RISKY MORTGAGES!

Delinquencies Double on Least-Risky Loans, U.S. Says (Update2) - Bloomberg.com: "Delinquencies Double on Least-Risky Loans, U.S. Says (Update2)"

VOLATILITY INDEX BELOW LEHMAN LEAVES "WALL OF WORRY" INTACT!

VIX Below Lehman Level Leaves ‘Wall of Worry’ Intact (Update3) - Bloomberg.com: "VIX Below Lehman Level Leaves ‘Wall of Worry’ Intact (Update3)"

LE ROYAUME-UNI CONNAÎT SA PIRE RÉCESSION DEPUIS 1958!

Le Royaume-Uni conna�t sa pire r�cession depuis 1958 - L'�conomie en crise - Le Monde.fr: "Le Royaume-Uni conna�t sa pire r�cession depuis 1958"

MÉXICO: ¿CÓMO VA HOY?..(Martes, junio 30, 2009)

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 30 de junio
| Titulares
| Reuters
: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 30 de junio"

CORN, SOYBEANS, WHEAT PLUMMET AS US FARMERS BOOST ACREAGE!

Corn, Soybeans, Wheat Plummet as U.S. Farmers Boost Acreage - Bloomberg.com: "Corn, Soybeans, Wheat Plummet as U.S. Farmers Boost Acreage"

BUNDESBANK "COLOSSUS" LOSES ABILITY TO DICTATE ECB LENDING RATE!

Bundesbank ‘Colossus’ Loses Ability to Dictate ECB Lending Rate - Bloomberg.com: "Bundesbank ‘Colossus’ Loses Ability to Dictate ECB Lending Rate"

UK GDP SLUMPS 2.4%, THE MOST SINCE 1958!

U.K. GDP Dropped 2.4% in First Quarter, the Most Since 1958 - Bloomberg.com: "U.K. GDP Dropped 2.4% in First Quarter, the Most Since 1958"

GERMANY'S UNEMPLOYMENT RATE HIGHEST SINCE 2007!

German Recession Pushed June Unemployment to Highest Since 2007 - Bloomberg.com: "German Recession Pushed June Unemployment to Highest Since 2007"

WORLD ECONOMY THIS WEEK (II)....GULP!.. (Agenda Jun 29 -- July 03, 2009)

AHEAD OF THE CURVE!

UPCOMING THIS WEEK: POLITICS AND ECONOMY: ---EVENTS THAT MAY MOVE GLOBAL FINANCIAL MARKETS (Update 1 of 3)---

(June 29 -- July 03, 2009)---Outstanding Events That May Move Global Financial Markets:

WORLD MARKETS-----; ----Dollar Recovery, Possible?, ----Oil, Gasoline and Food Prices---NORTH AMÉRICA: ***United States: Chicago FED National Activity Index (29); FED's Bullard Speaks (30); FED's Hoenig Speaks (30); US Bloomberg Financial Conditions Index (30); ABC Consumer Confidence (30); Home Price Index (30); Consumer Confidence (30); FED's Yellen Speaks (01); Total Vehicle Sales (01); MBA Mortgage Applications (01); ISM Manufacturing (01); Pending Home Sales (01); Construction Spending (01);Unemployment Rate (02); Factory Orders (02); ;México; Sector Manufacturero (29); Sector Construcción (30); Industria Minerometalúrgica (30); Indicador agregado de tendencia --Sector Manufacturero-- (02); Confianza del Productor (02); Pedidos Manufactureros (02); Manufacturas por Estado (03); Electricidad por Estado (03); Confianza del Consumidor (04); Indicadores Compuestos: Coincidente y Adelantado (05); ; Canada; GDP (30); Raw Materials Price Index (30); ; EUROPE; ; ; Britain:House Prices (Sunday 28); Housing Survey (Sunday 28); Consumer Credit (29); Mortgage Approvals (29); Consumer Confidence (29);GDP(30); Current Account (30); PMI Manufacturing (01); Services (01); PMI Construction (02); PMI Services (03) ;Switzerland; Consumption Indicator (30); Inflation (0·); ;Euro-Zone: Bloomber Retail PMI Index (29); Economic Confidence (29); Business Climate Indicator (29); Consumer Confidence (29); Consumer Inflation (30); PMI Manufacturing (01); Unemployment Rate (02); Producer Inflation (02); ECB Rate Decision (02); PMI Services (03); Composite (03);;France: Producer Inflation (30); M· (30); PMI Manufacturing (01); PMI Services (03); Retail Sales (03); ; Germany: Retail Sales (30); Unemployment Rate (30); PMI Manufacturing (01); ; Italy: Producer & Consumer Inflation (30); Budget Balance (01); Deficit To GDP (02); ; ---ASIA, PACIFIC: ---Japan: Industrial Production (Sunday 28); Retail Trade (Sunday 28); Vehicle Production (29); PMI Manufacturing (29); Unemployment Rate (29); Small Business Confidence (30); Tankan Large Manufacturers Outlook (30); Vehicle Sales (01); Monetary Base (01); Selling & Buying of Bonds and Stocks (01); :Australia; Retail Sales (01); Building Approvals (01); RBA Commodity Index (01); Trade Balance (02); Services (02); ; -- New Zealand: Trade Balance (Sunday 28); Business Confidence (30); Commodity Prices (02) ; ----: ;----

---OUTSTANDING--- :

----------------------


World: ... Swine Flu...Global Impact(Pandemic): ----Iran:Post-Election trouble to Continue.More Violence to Come?----North Korea: Missile Crazy?;Latvia: Devaluation a big possibility? Could it unsettle other economies in the region?----Europe: Germany Constitutional Court will rule on the legality of the "Lisbon Treaty"


----------------------

SUNDAY 28:

Japan: Industrial Production;

New Zealand: Trade Balance

MONDAY 29:

United States: Chicago Fed National Activity Index

Euro-Zone: Business Climate Indicator

Japan: Unemployment Rate

United Kingdom: Consumer Credit; Consumer Confidence

TUESDAY 30:

United States: Bloomberg Financial Conditions Index; Consumer Confidence

Euro-Zone: Inflation

Japan: Tankan Large Manufacturers Outlook

Germany: Unemployment Rate

United Kingdom: GDP; Current Account;

Canada: GDP

New Zealand: Business Confidence

WEDNESDAY 01:

Switzerland: Inflation

Australia: Retail Sales; RBA Commodity Index

THURSDAY 02:

United States: Unemployment Rate; Factory Orders

Euro-Zone: Unemployment Rate: ECB Rate Decision

Italy: Deficit to GDP

Australia: Trade Balance

New Zealand: Commodity Prices

FRIDAY 03:

United States: Holiday (4th of July)

SATURDAY 04:

México: Confianza del Consumidor

SUNDAY 05:

México: Indicadores Compuestos: Coincidente y Adelantado

LA DETTE PUBLIC DE LA FRANCE CROÎT DE 86.5 MILLIARDS D'EUROS, SOIT 72% DU PIB!

La dette publique de la France cro�t de 86,5 milliards d'euros - Le Monde.fr: "La dette publique de la France cro�t de 86,5 milliards d'euros"

JAPAN'S JOBLESS RATE RISES TO 5-YEAR HIGH OF 5.2%!

Japan’s Jobless Rate Rises to Five-Year High of 5.2% (Update2) - Bloomberg.com: "Japan’s Jobless Rate Rises to Five-Year High of 5.2% (Update2)"

lundi, juin 29, 2009

WORLD ECONOMY THIS WEEK....GULP!.. (Agenda Jun 29 -- July 03, 2009)

----------------------


World: ... Swine Flu...Global Impact(Pandemic): ----Iran:Post-Election trouble to Continue.More Violence to Come?----North Korea: Missile Crazy?;Latvia: Devaluation a big possibility? Could it unsettle other economies in the region?----Europe: Germany Constitutional Court will rule on the legality of the "Lisbon Treaty"


----------------------


SUNDAY 28:

Japan: Industrial Production; New Zealand: Trade Balance

MONDAY 29:

United States: Chicago Fed National Activity Index; Euro-Zone: Business Climate Indicator; Japan: Unemployment Rate; United Kingdom: Consumer Credit; Consumer Confidence

TUESDAY 30:

United States: Bloomberg Financial Conditions Index; Consumer Confidence; Euro-Zone: Inflation; Japan: Tankan Large Manufacturers Outlook; Germany: Unemployment Rate; United Kingdom: GDP; Current Account; Canada: GDP; New Zealand: Business Confidence

WEDNESDAY 01:

Switzerland: Inflation; Australia: Retail Sales; RBA Commodity Index

THURSDAY 02:

United States: Unemployment Rate; Factory Orders; Euro-Zone: Unemployment Rate: ECB Rate Decision; Italy: Deficit to GDP;Australia: Trade Balance; New Zealand: Commodity Prices

FRIDAY 03:

United States: Holiday (4th of July)

SATURDAY 04:

México: Confianza del Consumidor

SUNDAY 05:

México: Indicadores Compuestos: Coinicidente y Adelantado

LE MONDE: L'AGENDA DE LA SEMAINE...GULP! (JUIN 29 -- JUILLET 03, 2009)

A suivre cette semaine, le ch�mage dans la zone euro: "A suivre cette semaine, le ch�mage dans la zone euro"

MONDE: POUR LES BANQUES, UNE HIRONDELLE NE FAIT PAS LE PRINTEMPS!

Pour les banques, une hirondelle ne fait pas le printemps - L'�conomie en crise - Le Monde.fr: "Pour les banques, une hirondelle ne fait pas le printemps"

MÉXICO: ¿CÓMO VA HOY?..(Lunes, junio 29, 2009)

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 29 de junio
| Titulares
| Reuters
: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 29 de junio"

FED UNLIKELY TO RAISE RATES FOR A LONG TIME!

Pimco’s El-Erian Says Federal Reserve Unlikely to Raise Rates - Bloomberg.com: "Pimco’s El-Erian Says Federal Reserve Unlikely to Raise Rates"

EUROPE: LA BCE INONDE LES BANQUES DES LIQUIDITÉS!

La BCE inonde les banques de liquidit�s - Economie - Le Monde.fr: "La BCE inonde les banques de liquidit�s"

US HOUSING IN PERIL AS OBAMA FAILS TO GET FINANCING BREAKTHROUGH!

Housing in Peril as Obama Fails to Get Financing Breakthrough - Bloomberg.com: "Housing in Peril as Obama Fails to Get Financing Breakthrough"

EUROPEAN RETAIL SALES DECLINE FOR 13th MONTH!

European June Retail Sales Decline for 13th Month, PMI Shows - Bloomberg.com: "European June Retail Sales Decline for 13th Month, PMI Shows"

BANK FOR INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENT SEES GLOBAL INFLATION RISK!

BIS Sees Risk Central Banks Will Raise Interest Rates Too Late - Bloomberg.com: "BIS Sees Risk Central Banks Will Raise Interest Rates Too Late"

DOLLAR TO RISE MOST SINCE 1981, BLOOMBERG SURVEY SHOWS!

Dollar to Rise Most Since 1981, Best Predictor Says (Update1) - Bloomberg.com: "Dollar to Rise Most Since 1981, Best Predictor Says (Update1)"

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