Created in 2007 to give you a timely warning about the causes and consequences of the next global financial crisis since 1997, through the exposition of fundamental events analysis. ---(Tuesday Through Thursday Updates: 3 p.m. México City; 4 p.m. NY)---


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TODAY'S "TOP TEN " CRISIS EVENTS
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vendredi, mai 15, 2009

RUSSIA'S ECONOMY SHRINKS 9.5%, WORST IN 15 YEARS!

Russian Economy Shrank Annual 9.5% in First Quarter (Update2) - Bloomberg.com: "Russian Economy Shrank Annual 9.5% in First Quarter (Update2)"

MÉXICO CUTS RATE TO 5.25% AS FLU, EXPORTS STRAIN ECONOMY

Mexico Bank Cuts Rate to 5.25% as Flu Strains Economy (Update2) - Bloomberg.com: "Mexico Bank Cuts Rate to 5.25% as Flu Strains Economy (Update2)"

US INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION CONTRACTS LESS!...GOOD NEWS?

U.S. Economy: Industrial Production Contracts Less (Update1) - Bloomberg.com: "U.S. Economy: Industrial Production Contracts Less (Update1)"

OBAMA VEUT METTRE DE L'ORDRE SUR LES MARCHÉS DES DÉRIVÉS!....POSSIBLE?

L'administration Obama veut mettre de l'ordre sur les march�s des d�riv�s - L'�conomie en crise - Le Monde.fr: "L'administration Obama veut mettre de l'ordre sur les march�s des d�riv�s"

MÉXICO: ¿CÓMO VA HOY?...Viernes, mayo 15, 2009

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 15 de mayo
| Titulares
| Reuters
: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 15 de mayo"

EUROPE'S ECONOMY CONTRACTS THE MOST IN 13 YEARS!

Europe’s Economy Contracts 2.5%, the Most Since 1995 (Update5) - Bloomberg.com: "Europe’s Economy Contracts 2.5%, the Most Since 1995 (Update5)"

GM TO NOTIFY 1,100 US DEALERS TO BE CLOSED!

GM Starts Notifying 1,100 U.S. Dealers to Be Closed (Update2) - Bloomberg.com: "GM Starts Notifying 1,100 U.S. Dealers to Be Closed (Update2)"

CHINA'S JOBS MELTDOWN!...WEIRD?.ABSURD?..UNCROYABLE?

China Jobs Slump Makes Graduates Swap Dreams for Civil Service - Bloomberg.com: "China Jobs Slump Makes Graduates Swap Dreams for Civil Service"

LA FRANCE OFFICIELLEMENT EN RÉCESSION!

La France officiellement en r�cession - L'�conomie en crise - Le Monde.fr: "La France officiellement en r�cession"

GERMANY'S ECONOMY SHRINKS AT RECORD PACE!

German Economy Shrank at Record Pace in First Quarter (Update2) - Bloomberg.com: "German Economy Shrank at Record Pace in First Quarter (Update2)"

jeudi, mai 14, 2009

OBAMA: US LONG-TERM DEBT LOAD "UNSUSTAINABLE"!...AND EUROPE'S, ASIA'S, AFRICA'S, LATIN AMERICA'S..?

Obama Says U.S. Long-Term Debt Load ‘Unsustainable’ (Update1) - Bloomberg.com: "Obama Says U.S. Long-Term Debt Load ‘Unsustainable’ (Update1)"

SELON LE "WALL STREET JOURNAL", LE RÉTABLISSEMENT DE L'ECONOMIE AMÉRICAINE PRENDRAIT 3 OU 4 ANS!

Selon le "Wall Street Journal", le r�tablissement de l'�conomie am�ricaine prendrait 3 ou 4 ans - L'�conomie en crise - Le Monde.fr: "Selon le 'Wall Street Journal', le r�tablissement de l'�conomie am�ricaine prendrait 3 ou 4 ans"

SCHWARZENEGGER ORDERS 5,000 JOB CUTS, SEEKS $6,000 BILLION LOAN!

Schwarzenegger Seeks $6 Billion Loan, Orders Cuts (Update1) - Bloomberg.com: "Schwarzenegger Seeks $6 Billion Loan, Orders Cuts (Update1)"

MÉXICO: ¿CÓMO VA HOY?...Jueves, mayo 14, 2009

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 14 de mayo
| Titulares
| Reuters
: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 14 de mayo"

TURKEY CUTS RATE AS INFLATION FELL TO 39 YEAR LOW!

Turkish Central Bank Cuts Benchmark Rate to 9.25% (Update2) - Bloomberg.com: "Turkish Central Bank Cuts Benchmark Rate to 9.25% (Update2)"

TAYLOR'S RULE: TAYLOR SAYS FED MAY NOT HAVE MUCH TIME BEFORE RATE RISE NEEDED!....REALLY?

Taylor Says Fed May Not Have Much Time Before Rate Rise Needed - Bloomberg.com: "Taylor Says Fed May Not Have Much Time Before Rate Rise Needed"

GLOBAL ECONOMY FACING JAPANESE-STYLE "LOST DECADE"?

Krugman Says Global Economy Facing Japanese-Style ‘Lost Decade’ - Bloomberg.com: "Krugman Says Global Economy Facing Japanese-Style ‘Lost Decade’"

EUROPE: RECUL DE 12.3% DU MARCHÉ AUTOMOBILE!

Recul de 12,3% du march�automobile europ�en en avril - Le Monde.fr: "Recul de 12,3% du march�automobile europ�en en avril"

SPAIN ECONOMY SHRINKS MOST IN 40 YEARS!

Spanish Economy Shrinks Most in 40 Years in First Quarter - Bloomberg.com: "Spanish Economy Shrinks Most in 40 Years in First Quarter"

EUROPE: ECB WEBER, KRANJEC CLASH JEOPARDIZES TRICHET TRUCE!

Weber, Kranjec Clash on Bonds a Week After Trichet Calls Truce - Bloomberg.com: "Weber, Kranjec Clash on Bonds a Week After Trichet Calls Truce"

mercredi, mai 13, 2009

GLOBAL CONFIDENCE UP!...MONEY ILLUSION?

Global Confidence Increases as Bernanke Sees Start of Recovery - Bloomberg.com: "Global Confidence Increases as Bernanke Sees Start of Recovery"

MÉXICO: ¿CÓMO VA HOY?...Miércoles, mayo 13, 2009

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 13 de mayo
| Titulares
| Reuters
: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 13 de mayo"

GM ET CHRYSLER SUPPRIMERAIENT JUSQU'À 3,000 CONCESSIONNAIRES!

GM et Chrysler supprimeraient jusqu'�3.000 concessionnaires - Le Monde.fr: "GM et Chrysler supprimeraient jusqu'�3.000 concessionnaires"

US RETAIL SALES: DISAPPOINTING!....FALL FOR 2nd MONTH!

U.S. Economy: Retail Sales Unexpectedly Fall for Second Month - Bloomberg.com: "U.S. Economy: Retail Sales Unexpectedly Fall for Second Month"

JAPAN'S CURRENT-ACCOUNT SURPLUS SHRINKS 48.8%!

Japan’s Current-Account Surplus Falls at Slower Pace (Update2) - Bloomberg.com: "Japan’s Current-Account Surplus Falls at Slower Pace (Update2)"

JAPAN HOUSEWIVES LEAD BETS VS YEN!...WHY?

Japanese Housewives Lead $125 Billion Bet Against Yen (Update2) - Bloomberg.com: "Japanese Housewives Lead $125 Billion Bet Against Yen (Update2)"

SPAIN INFLATION RATE REMAINS NEGATIVE FOR 2nd MONTH AS SLUMP DEEPENS!

Spain Consumer Prices Drop by Record as Slump Deepens (Update1) - Bloomberg.com: "Spain Consumer Prices Drop by Record as Slump Deepens (Update1)"

RISQUE DE DÉFLATION MONDIALE?..L'INFLATION AU PLUS BAS DEPUIS 1957 EN FRANCE!

L'inflation au plus bas depuis 1957 en France - L'�conomie en crise - Le Monde.fr: "L'inflation au plus bas depuis 1957 en France"

CHINA'S INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION:...DISAPPOINTING!

China’s Factory Output Grows Less-Than-Estimated 7.3% (Update2) - Bloomberg.com: "China’s Factory Output Grows Less-Than-Estimated 7.3% (Update2)"

mardi, mai 12, 2009

MÉXICO: FACING RATING DOWNGRADES?

Mexico Faces Downgrade After ‘Very Complacent’ Decade (Update3) - Bloomberg.com: "Mexico Faces Downgrade After ‘Very Complacent’ Decade (Update3)"

GREENSPAN SEES "SEEDS OF A BOTTOMING" IN U.S. HOUSING!...REALLY?

Greenspan Sees ‘Seeds of a Bottoming’ in U.S. Housing (Update1) - Bloomberg.com: "Greenspan Sees ‘Seeds of a Bottoming’ in U.S. Housing (Update1)"

LE FMI PRÔNE DES "STRESS TEST" POUR S'ASSURER DE LA BONNE SANTÉ DES BANQUES EUROPÉENNES!

Le FMI pr�ne des "stress test" pour s'assurer de la bonne sant�des banques europ�ennes - Economie - Le Monde.fr: "Le FMI pr�ne des 'stress test' pour s'assurer de la bonne sant�des banques europ�ennes"

MÉXICO: ¿CÓMO VA HOY?...Martes, mayo 12, 2009!

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 12 de mayo
| Titulares
| Reuters
: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 12 de mayo"

US HOME PRICES FALL MOST ON RECORD!

Home Prices in U.S. Drop Most on Record in Quarter (Update3) - Bloomberg.com: "Home Prices in U.S. Drop Most on Record in Quarter (Update3)"

FRANCE, ITALY OUTPUT SLUMPS!...STEEPER EUROPE CONTRACTION?

French, Italian Output Slumps, Signaling Deeper EU Contraction - Bloomberg.com: "French, Italian Output Slumps, Signaling Deeper EU Contraction"

INDIAN OUTPUT DECLINES BY MOST IN 16 YEARS AMID SLUMP!

Indian Output Declines by Most in 16 Years Amid Slump (Update2) - Bloomberg.com: "Indian Output Declines by Most in 16 Years Amid Slump (Update2)"

ECONOMISTS DOWNGRADE U.S. RECOVERY OUTLOOK!

Economists Downgrade U.S. Recovery Outlook, Survey Indicates - Bloomberg.com: "Economists Downgrade U.S. Recovery Outlook, Survey Indicates"

lundi, mai 11, 2009

LA MAISON BLANCHE PRÉVOIT DÉSORMAIS 12.9% DE DÉFICIT BUDGÉTAIRE!

La Maison blanche pr�voit d�sormais 12,9% de d�ficit budg�taire - Le Monde.fr: "La Maison blanche pr�voit d�sormais 12,9% de d�ficit budg�taire"

MÉXICO: ¿CÓMO VA HOY?...Lunes, mayo 11, 2009!

MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 11 de mayo
| Titulares
| Reuters
: "MERCADOS MEXICANOS-�Qu�dicen los analistas? 11 de mayo"

CHINA'S DEFLATION!...APRIL -1.5%!

China’s Consumer Prices Fall for Third Month on Food (Update2) - Bloomberg.com: "China’s Consumer Prices Fall for Third Month on Food (Update2)"

GLOBAL ECONOMY: NEAR TURNING POINT?

Trichet Says Global Economy Is Near Turning Point (Update1) - Bloomberg.com: "Trichet Says Global Economy Is Near Turning Point (Update1)"

WALL STREET CETTE SEMAINE...GULP!..(Agende Mai 11--Mai 15, 2009)

Wall Street reste optimiste et attend les ventes au d�tail US - Le Monde.fr: "Wall Street reste optimiste et attend les ventes au d�tail US"

CHINA'S BANK LENDING COOLS!.....INFLATION DECLINES!

China’s Bank Lending Cooled in April; Consumer Prices Decline - Bloomberg.com: "China’s Bank Lending Cooled in April; Consumer Prices Decline"

dimanche, mai 10, 2009

WORLD ECONOMY THIS WEEK...GULP! ..(Agenda May 11 -- May 15, 2009)

(May 11 -- May 15,  2009)---Outstanding Events That May Move Global Financial Markets:

WORLD MARKETS-----Bloomberg Global Confidence (13); ----Dollar Recovery, Possible?, ----Oil, Gasoline and Food Prices---NORTH AMÉRICA: ***United States: FED's Bernanke Speaks (11); Trade Balance (12); FED's Rosengren Speaks (12); Economic Optimism (12); Monthly Budget Statement (12); ABC Consumer Confidence (12); Mortgage Applications (13); Retail Sales (13); Imports Inflation (13); Business Inventories (13); Duke Speaks (13); FED's Lockhart Speaks (13); Producer Inflation (14); Inflation (15); Empire Manufacturing (15); Net Long-Term TIC Flows (15); Industrial Production (15); Capacity Utilization (15); U. of Mich. Confidence (15);    ;   México; Inversión Fija Bruta (11); Desempleo (15);  ;      Canada ; Trade Balance (12); ;  EUROPE;EU 25 New Car Registrations   ;   Britain: House Prices (10); Retail Sales Monitor (11); RICS House Price Balance (11); Trade Balance (12); Industrial Production (12); Manufacturing production; NIESR GDP Estimate (12); Unemployment Rate (13); BOE Quarterly Inflation Report (13);      ; Switzerland; Consumer Climate (12); Retail Sales (15) ;   ;   Euro-Zone: Industrial Production (13); ECB Monthly Report (14); GDP (15); Inflation (15);   ; ; France: Industrial Production (11); BOF Business Confidence (12); Central Government Balance (12); Inflation (13); Current Account (13); GDP (15);      ;  Germany: Wholesale Inflation (10); Inflation (12); GDP (15);    ;      ; Italy: Industrial Production (11); GDP (15); Inflation (15);   ;  ---ASIA, PACIFIC: ---Japan: Machine Tool Orders (11); Leading Index (12); Coincident Index (12); Trade Balance (12); Current Account (12); Bank Lending (12);  Bankruptcies (13); Eco. Watchers Survey (13); Machine Tool Orders (13); Gov. Monthly Ec. Report (14); Machine Orders (14)  ;  ;Australia; Business Confidence (11); Business Conditions (11); Investment lending (12); Consumer Confidence (13); Inflation Expectations (14);    ; -- New Zealand: Manufacturing Index (10); Retail Sales (14); ;  ; ----: ;----

 

---OUTSTANDING--- :

United States: Trade Balance; Retail Sales; Inflation; Industrial Production; Japan; Leading & Coincident Index; Trade Balance;  Euro-Zone: GDP; Germany: GDP;  ; Australia: Business & Consumer Confidence ; México:Inversión Fija Bruta; Desempleo

-----º-----

SUNDAY 10

United Kingdom: House Prices

Germany: Wholesale Inflation

New Zealand: Manufacturing Index 

MONDAY 11:  

México: Inversión Fija Bruta 

Australia: Business Confidence

TUESDAY 12

United States: Trade Balance; Monthly Budget Statement

Japan: Leading & Coincident Index; Trade Balance 

Germany: Inflation

Canada: Trade Balance 

United Kingdom: Industrial Production; GDP Estimate; Unemployment Rate; 

France: Central Government Balance

WEDNESDAY 13

United States: Retail Sales; 

Euro-Zone: Industrial Production

THURSDAY 14

United States: Producer Inflation

FRIDAY 15

United States: Inflation; Industrial Production

Euro-Zone: GDP; Inflation

France: GDP; Inflation

Germany: GDP

Italy: GDP; Inflation

México: Desempleo

SATURDAY 16

SUNDAY 17

US ECONOMY THIS WEEK...GULP! ... (Agenda MAY 11 -- MAY 15, 2009)

Retail Sales, Output Probably Steadied: U.S. Economy Preview - Bloomberg.com: "Retail Sales, Output Probably Steadied: U.S. Economy Preview"

GLOBAL MARKETS: IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE 3.0!

Irrational Exuberance 3.0 Is Oozing Into Markets: William Pesek - Bloomberg.com: "Irrational Exuberance 3.0 Is Oozing Into Markets: William Pesek"

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